Period fertility in Russia: Difference between revisions

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(Created page with "{{country-specific information| information type = period fertility| country = Russia}} ==Total indicators only without breakdown by birth order== ===Total indicators with y...")
 
 
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information type = period fertility|
information type = period fertility|
country = Russia}}
country = Russia}}
==Data sources==
{{HFD source|update date = April 2012|download date = January 2014|country = Russia|country code = RUS}}


==Total indicators only without breakdown by birth order==
==Total indicators only without breakdown by birth order==


===Total indicators with year-on-year differences (changes measured additively)===
===Total indicators with year-on-year differences (changes measured additively)===
 
<section begin="summary"/>
{| class="sortable" border="1"
{| class="sortable" border="1"
! Year || CBR || CBR minus previous year's CBR || TFR || TFR minus previous year's TFR || TFR40 || TFR40 minus previous year's TFR40
! Year || [[Crude birth rate]] (CBR) (births per 1000 people) || CBR minus previous year's CBR || [[Total fertility rate]] (TFR) (sum of all [[age-specific fertility rate]]s), ballpark for [[replacement fertility]] is 2.1 || TFR minus previous year's TFR || TFR40 || TFR40 minus previous year's TFR40
|-
|-
| 1959 || 23.61 ||  || 2.583 ||  || 2.467 ||  
| 1959 || 23.61 ||  || 2.583 ||  || 2.467 ||  
Line 124: Line 128:
! Multiplier for best logarithmic fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) || 0.9857656066 ||  || 0.9873666048 ||  || 0.9878851946 ||  
! Multiplier for best logarithmic fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) || 0.9857656066 ||  || 0.9873666048 ||  || 0.9878851946 ||  
|}
|}
<section end="summary"/>
==Crude birth rate==


===Crude birth rate broken down by birth order===
===Crude birth rate broken down by birth order===
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! Multiplier for best logarithmic fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) || 0.9857656066 || 0.9919512271 || 0.9868077025 || 0.9774203234 || 0.9634862731 || 0.9422832329 || 1.0062749406 || 1.0010571438 || 0.9915342114 || 0.9773989543 || 0.9558897436
! Multiplier for best logarithmic fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) || 0.9857656066 || 0.9919512271 || 0.9868077025 || 0.9774203234 || 0.9634862731 || 0.9422832329 || 1.0062749406 || 1.0010571438 || 0.9915342114 || 0.9773989543 || 0.9558897436
|}
|}
==Total fertility rate==


===Total fertility rate broken down by birth order===
===Total fertility rate broken down by birth order===

Latest revision as of 19:20, 11 March 2014

This page gives information of type period fertility about the country Russia.
See all pages giving information on period fertility for particular countries|See all pages giving information about Russia

Data sources

Some data on this page comes from the Human Fertility Database (website www.humanfertility.org) (data downloaded January 2014, last updated by HFD April 2012). The data collected by the Human Fertility Database is based on government data collection by the government of Russia. You can download the data yourself here. Details about the modalities of data collection are available here. Where available, we use HFD data because of its higher reliability.

Total indicators only without breakdown by birth order

Total indicators with year-on-year differences (changes measured additively)

Year Crude birth rate (CBR) (births per 1000 people) CBR minus previous year's CBR Total fertility rate (TFR) (sum of all age-specific fertility rates), ballpark for replacement fertility is 2.1 TFR minus previous year's TFR TFR40 TFR40 minus previous year's TFR40
1959 23.61 2.583 2.467
1960 23.16 -0.45 2.556 -0.027 2.447 -0.02
1961 21.86 -1.3 2.458 -0.098 2.363 -0.084
1962 20.14 -1.72 2.34 -0.118 2.252 -0.111
1963 18.72 -1.42 2.283 -0.057 2.201 -0.051
1964 16.88 -1.84 2.16 -0.123 2.084 -0.117
1965 15.71 -1.17 2.087 -0.073 2.017 -0.067
1966 15.34 -0.37 2.098 0.011 2.032 0.015
1967 14.42 -0.92 2.006 -0.092 1.947 -0.085
1968 14.07 -0.35 1.97 -0.036 1.913 -0.034
1969 14.24 0.17 1.984 0.014 1.933 0.02
1970 14.61 0.37 1.995 0.011 1.947 0.014
1971 15.08 0.47 2.024 0.029 1.979 0.032
1972 15.3 0.22 2.027 0.003 1.982 0.003
1973 15.06 -0.24 1.962 -0.065 1.919 -0.063
1974 15.61 0.55 1.995 0.033 1.953 0.034
1975 15.71 0.1 1.971 -0.024 1.931 -0.022
1976 15.9 0.19 1.953 -0.018 1.915 -0.016
1977 15.86 -0.04 1.918 -0.035 1.884 -0.031
1978 15.91 0.05 1.899 -0.019 1.867 -0.017
1979 15.81 -0.1 1.865 -0.034 1.836 -0.031
1980 15.91 0.1 1.863 -0.002 1.837 0.001
1981 16.07 0.16 1.882 0.019 1.857 0.02
1982 16.63 0.56 1.956 0.074 1.931 0.074
1983 17.57 0.94 2.088 0.132 2.063 0.132
1984 16.97 -0.6 2.051 -0.037 2.027 -0.036
1985 16.61 -0.36 2.051 0 2.028 0.001
1986 17.25 0.64 2.177 0.126 2.152 0.124
1987 17.2 -0.05 2.229 0.052 2.202 0.05
1988 16.03 -1.17 2.142 -0.087 2.116 -0.086
1989 14.66 -1.37 2.018 -0.124 1.995 -0.121
1990 13.44 -1.22 1.894 -0.124 1.874 -0.121
1991 12.09 -1.35 1.733 -0.161 1.715 -0.159
1992 10.69 -1.4 1.549 -0.184 1.532 -0.183
1993 9.38 -1.31 1.37 -0.179 1.358 -0.174
1994 9.59 0.21 1.395 0.025 1.383 0.025
1995 9.27 -0.32 1.338 -0.057 1.327 -0.056
1996 8.88 -0.39 1.271 -0.067 1.259 -0.068
1997 8.59 -0.29 1.219 -0.052 1.208 -0.051
1998 8.76 0.17 1.233 0.014 1.221 0.013
1999 8.32 -0.44 1.158 -0.075 1.146 -0.075
2000 8.7 0.38 1.196 0.038 1.183 0.037
2001 9.05 0.35 1.224 0.028 1.211 0.028
2002 9.69 0.64 1.287 0.063 1.274 0.063
2003 10.22 0.53 1.333 0.046 1.318 0.044
2004 10.45 0.23 1.341 0.008 1.325 0.007
2005 10.18 -0.27 1.288 -0.053 1.271 -0.054
2006 10.39 0.21 1.296 0.008 1.278 0.007
2007 11.33 0.94 1.406 0.11 1.385 0.107
2008 12.08 0.75 1.494 0.088 1.469 0.084
2009 12.41 0.33 1.537 0.043 1.509 0.04
2010 12.61 0.2 1.569 0.032 1.538 0.029
Mean 14.1157692308 -0.2156862745 1.8023461538 -0.0198823529 1.7665576923 -0.0182156863
Median 14.86 -0.04 1.9355 -0.018 1.8985 -0.016
Standard deviation 3.8021290971 0.7335564188 0.3919091474 0.0737584292 0.3715297689 0.071963967
Slope for best linear fit (using linear regression) -0.1989567148 0.0187963801 -0.0220988645 0.0012877828 -0.0206610177 0.0011103167
Multiplier for best logarithmic fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) 0.9857656066 0.9873666048 0.9878851946

Crude birth rate

Crude birth rate broken down by birth order

Year CBR CBR1 CBR2 CBR3 CBR4 CBR5+ CBR1 proportion CBR2 proportion CBR3 proportion CBR4 proportion CBR5+ proportion
1959 23.61 9.91 6.6 3.19 1.69 2.21 0.4197373994 0.2795425667 0.1351122406 0.0715798391 0.0936044049
1960 23.16 9.58 6.61 3.18 1.65 2.15 0.4136442142 0.2854058722 0.1373056995 0.0712435233 0.0928324698
1961 21.86 9.31 6.24 2.88 1.47 1.96 0.4258920403 0.285452882 0.131747484 0.0672461116 0.0896614822
1962 20.14 8.48 5.87 2.64 1.35 1.81 0.4210526316 0.2914597815 0.131082423 0.0670307845 0.0898709037
1963 18.72 7.67 5.63 2.49 1.23 1.69 0.4097222222 0.3007478632 0.1330128205 0.0657051282 0.0902777778
1964 16.88 6.96 5.11 2.16 1.09 1.55 0.4123222749 0.3027251185 0.1279620853 0.0645734597 0.0918246445
1965 15.71 6.38 4.8 2.02 1.03 1.48 0.4061107575 0.305537874 0.128580522 0.0655633355 0.0942075111
1966 15.34 6.31 4.71 1.91 0.97 1.44 0.4113428944 0.3070404172 0.1245110821 0.0632333768 0.0938722295
1967 14.42 6.18 4.4 1.69 0.85 1.3 0.4285714286 0.3051317614 0.1171983356 0.0589459085 0.0901525659
1968 14.07 6.3 4.22 1.55 0.78 1.23 0.447761194 0.2999289268 0.1101634684 0.0554371002 0.0874200426
1969 14.24 6.72 4.29 1.45 0.7 1.09 0.4719101124 0.3012640449 0.1018258427 0.0491573034 0.0765449438
1970 14.61 7.44 4.19 1.37 0.61 0.99 0.5092402464 0.28678987 0.0937713895 0.0417522245 0.067761807
1971 15.08 7.87 4.38 1.34 0.59 0.89 0.5218832891 0.2904509284 0.0888594164 0.0391246684 0.0590185676
1972 15.3 8.04 4.57 1.3 0.54 0.84 0.5254901961 0.2986928105 0.0849673203 0.0352941176 0.0549019608
1973 15.06 7.99 4.57 1.23 0.49 0.77 0.5305444887 0.3034528552 0.0816733068 0.0325365206 0.0511288181
1974 15.61 8.39 4.78 1.23 0.48 0.73 0.5374759769 0.3062139654 0.0787956438 0.0307495195 0.0467648943
1975 15.71 8.48 4.91 1.19 0.46 0.67 0.5397835773 0.3125397836 0.0757479313 0.0292807129 0.0426479949
1976 15.9 8.6 5.07 1.18 0.43 0.62 0.5408805031 0.3188679245 0.0742138365 0.0270440252 0.0389937107
1977 15.86 8.54 5.18 1.17 0.41 0.56 0.5384615385 0.3266078184 0.0737704918 0.025851198 0.0353089533
1978 15.91 8.63 5.25 1.16 0.38 0.5 0.5424261471 0.3299811439 0.0729101194 0.0238843495 0.0314267756
1979 15.81 8.63 5.23 1.13 0.37 0.46 0.5458570525 0.3308032891 0.0714737508 0.0234029096 0.0290955092
1980 15.91 8.6 5.41 1.14 0.35 0.41 0.5405405405 0.3400377121 0.0716530484 0.0219987429 0.025769956
1981 16.07 8.32 5.75 1.23 0.37 0.4 0.5177349098 0.3578095831 0.0765401369 0.0230242688 0.0248911014
1982 16.63 8.16 6.23 1.43 0.41 0.4 0.4906794949 0.3746241732 0.0859891762 0.0246542393 0.0240529164
1983 17.57 8.03 7.01 1.67 0.45 0.41 0.4570290268 0.3989755265 0.0950483779 0.0256118384 0.0233352305
1984 16.97 7.81 6.58 1.71 0.46 0.4 0.4602239246 0.387743076 0.1007660577 0.0271066588 0.0235710077
1985 16.61 7.49 6.43 1.79 0.49 0.42 0.4509331728 0.3871161951 0.1077664058 0.029500301 0.0252859723
1986 17.25 7.3 6.88 2.07 0.55 0.45 0.4231884058 0.3988405797 0.12 0.031884058 0.0260869565
1987 17.2 7.19 6.85 2.14 0.56 0.46 0.4180232558 0.398255814 0.1244186047 0.0325581395 0.026744186
1988 16.03 7.01 6.14 1.91 0.52 0.44 0.437305053 0.3830318153 0.1191515908 0.0324391765 0.027448534
1989 14.66 6.81 5.35 1.63 0.46 0.4 0.4645293315 0.3649386085 0.1111869031 0.031377899 0.0272851296
1990 13.44 6.65 4.6 1.41 0.42 0.36 0.4947916667 0.3422619048 0.1049107143 0.03125 0.0267857143
1991 12.09 6.35 3.86 1.19 0.37 0.32 0.5252274607 0.3192721257 0.0984284533 0.0306038048 0.0264681555
1992 10.69 5.96 3.2 0.95 0.31 0.27 0.5575304022 0.2993451824 0.088868101 0.0289990645 0.0252572498
1993 9.38 5.5 2.71 0.74 0.23 0.19 0.5863539446 0.28891258 0.078891258 0.0245202559 0.0202558635
1994 9.59 5.72 2.73 0.73 0.22 0.18 0.5964546403 0.2846715328 0.0761209593 0.0229405631 0.0187695516
1995 9.27 5.54 2.65 0.7 0.22 0.17 0.597626753 0.2858683927 0.0755124056 0.0237324703 0.0183387271
1996 8.88 5.28 2.56 0.68 0.21 0.16 0.5945945946 0.2882882883 0.0765765766 0.0236486486 0.018018018
1997 8.59 5.03 2.52 0.67 0.21 0.16 0.58556461 0.2933643772 0.0779976717 0.0244470314 0.0186263097
1998 8.76 5.15 2.57 0.67 0.21 0.16 0.5878995434 0.2933789954 0.0764840183 0.0239726027 0.0182648402
1999 8.32 4.94 2.41 0.63 0.19 0.14 0.59375 0.2896634615 0.0757211538 0.0228365385 0.0168269231
2000 8.7 5.2 2.53 0.65 0.19 0.13 0.5977011494 0.2908045977 0.0747126437 0.0218390805 0.0149425287
2001 9.05 5.45 2.64 0.64 0.19 0.13 0.6022099448 0.2917127072 0.070718232 0.0209944751 0.0143646409
2002 9.69 5.77 2.87 0.71 0.2 0.14 0.5954592363 0.2961816305 0.0732714138 0.0206398349 0.0144478844
2003 10.22 6.07 3.05 0.75 0.21 0.13 0.5939334638 0.2984344423 0.0733855186 0.0205479452 0.0127201566
2004 10.45 6.2 3.14 0.76 0.21 0.13 0.5933014354 0.3004784689 0.0727272727 0.0200956938 0.0124401914
2005 10.18 6.04 3.08 0.74 0.2 0.12 0.5933202358 0.3025540275 0.0726915521 0.0196463654 0.0117878193
2006 10.39 6.18 3.15 0.75 0.2 0.11 0.5948026949 0.3031761309 0.0721847931 0.0192492782 0.010587103
2007 11.33 6.28 3.71 0.95 0.25 0.15 0.5542806708 0.3274492498 0.0838481906 0.0220653133 0.013239188
2008 12.08 6.48 4.07 1.1 0.28 0.15 0.5364238411 0.3369205298 0.0910596026 0.0231788079 0.0124172185
2009 12.41 6.56 4.27 1.14 0.29 0.16 0.5286059629 0.344077357 0.0918614021 0.0233682514 0.0128928284
2010 12.61 6.37 4.54 1.22 0.31 0.16 0.5051546392 0.3600317209 0.0967486122 0.0245836638 0.0126883426
Mean 14.1157692308 7.0355769231 4.5403846154 1.3838461538 0.5251923077 0.6298076923 0.5129862344 0.3191703516 0.0940370396 0.0342682909 0.0394601579
Median 14.86 6.765 4.57 1.225 0.415 0.41 0.5270480795 0.3033144931 0.0874242963 0.027075342 0.026277556
Standard deviation 3.8021290971 1.2839131567 1.3895886844 0.6594654813 0.3855146313 0.5873285829 0.0669155691 0.0349620491 0.0215888332 0.0163254299 0.0292171315
Slope for best linear fit (using linear regression) -0.1989567148 -0.0571591394 -0.054186801 -0.0322504909 -0.0209113805 -0.0344535986 0.0031398214 0.0003415634 -0.0008592913 -0.0008821714 -0.0017413712
Multiplier for best logarithmic fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) 0.9857656066 0.9919512271 0.9868077025 0.9774203234 0.9634862731 0.9422832329 1.0062749406 1.0010571438 0.9915342114 0.9773989543 0.9558897436

Total fertility rate

Total fertility rate broken down by birth order

Year TFR TFR1 TFR2 TFR3 TFR4 TFR5+ TFR1 proportion TFR2 proportion TFR3 proportion TFR4 proportion TFR5+ proportion
1959 2.583 1.042 0.72 0.351 0.19 0.28 0.4034068912 0.2787456446 0.1358885017 0.0735578784 0.108401084
1960 2.556 1.021 0.726 0.354 0.186 0.269 0.3994522692 0.2840375587 0.1384976526 0.0727699531 0.1052425665
1961 2.458 1.036 0.689 0.325 0.168 0.24 0.4214808788 0.2803091945 0.1322213181 0.0683482506 0.097640358
1962 2.34 1.008 0.659 0.3 0.155 0.219 0.4307692308 0.2816239316 0.1282051282 0.0662393162 0.0935897436
1963 2.283 1.004 0.648 0.285 0.142 0.203 0.4397722295 0.2838370565 0.1248357424 0.0621988611 0.0889180902
1964 2.16 0.986 0.609 0.252 0.127 0.185 0.4564814815 0.2819444444 0.1166666667 0.0587962963 0.0856481481
1965 2.087 0.955 0.593 0.24 0.121 0.177 0.4575946334 0.2841399138 0.1149976042 0.0579779588 0.0848107331
1966 2.098 0.97 0.606 0.233 0.116 0.173 0.4623450906 0.2888465205 0.1110581506 0.0552907531 0.0824594852
1967 2.006 0.941 0.593 0.211 0.104 0.157 0.4690927218 0.2956131605 0.1051844467 0.0518444666 0.0782652044
1968 1.97 0.931 0.592 0.201 0.097 0.149 0.4725888325 0.3005076142 0.1020304569 0.0492385787 0.0756345178
1969 1.984 0.947 0.62 0.194 0.089 0.135 0.4773185484 0.3125 0.0977822581 0.044858871 0.0680443548
1970 1.995 0.986 0.613 0.189 0.082 0.126 0.494235589 0.3072681704 0.0947368421 0.0411027569 0.0631578947
1971 2.024 1.001 0.637 0.19 0.081 0.116 0.4945652174 0.3147233202 0.0938735178 0.0400197628 0.057312253
1972 2.027 0.992 0.664 0.185 0.076 0.111 0.4893931919 0.327577701 0.0912678836 0.0374938333 0.0547607301
1973 1.962 0.959 0.652 0.178 0.07 0.103 0.4887869521 0.3323139653 0.0907237513 0.0356778797 0.0524974516
1974 1.995 0.983 0.663 0.179 0.069 0.1 0.4927318296 0.3323308271 0.0897243108 0.0345864662 0.0501253133
1975 1.971 0.976 0.661 0.171 0.069 0.094 0.4951801116 0.33536276 0.0867579909 0.0350076104 0.0476915271
1976 1.953 0.975 0.66 0.166 0.063 0.089 0.4992319508 0.3379416283 0.0849974398 0.0322580645 0.0455709165
1977 1.918 0.959 0.658 0.162 0.058 0.081 0.5 0.3430656934 0.0844629823 0.0302398332 0.0422314911
1978 1.899 0.964 0.65 0.157 0.054 0.074 0.5076355977 0.3422854134 0.0826750922 0.028436019 0.0389678778
1979 1.865 0.964 0.633 0.149 0.051 0.068 0.5168900804 0.3394101877 0.0798927614 0.0273458445 0.036461126
1980 1.863 0.966 0.642 0.146 0.048 0.061 0.5185185185 0.344605475 0.0783682233 0.0257648953 0.0327428878
1981 1.882 0.945 0.674 0.155 0.049 0.059 0.5021253985 0.3581296493 0.0823591923 0.0260361318 0.0313496281
1982 1.956 0.944 0.725 0.176 0.053 0.058 0.4826175869 0.3706543967 0.0899795501 0.0270961145 0.0296523517
1983 2.088 0.956 0.812 0.204 0.058 0.058 0.4578544061 0.3888888889 0.0977011494 0.0277777778 0.0277777778
1984 2.051 0.967 0.766 0.206 0.057 0.055 0.4714773281 0.373476353 0.1004388103 0.0277913213 0.0268161872
1985 2.051 0.965 0.757 0.214 0.06 0.055 0.4705021941 0.3690882496 0.1043393467 0.0292540224 0.0268161872
1986 2.177 0.979 0.825 0.247 0.066 0.059 0.449701424 0.3789618741 0.1134588884 0.0303169499 0.0271015158
1987 2.229 1.003 0.843 0.257 0.068 0.058 0.4499775684 0.3781965007 0.1152983401 0.0305069538 0.0260206371
1988 2.142 1.011 0.779 0.233 0.064 0.055 0.4719887955 0.3636788049 0.1087768441 0.0298786181 0.0256769374
1989 2.018 1.007 0.703 0.202 0.056 0.05 0.4990089197 0.3483647175 0.100099108 0.0277502478 0.0247770069
1990 1.894 0.996 0.625 0.178 0.051 0.045 0.5258711721 0.3299894403 0.0939809926 0.0269271383 0.0237592397
1991 1.733 0.953 0.54 0.154 0.046 0.04 0.5499134449 0.3115983843 0.0888632429 0.0265435661 0.0230813618
1992 1.549 0.891 0.458 0.126 0.04 0.033 0.5752098128 0.2956746288 0.0813428018 0.0258231117 0.0213040671
1993 1.37 0.82 0.395 0.101 0.03 0.024 0.598540146 0.2883211679 0.0737226277 0.0218978102 0.0175182482
1994 1.395 0.842 0.401 0.101 0.03 0.023 0.6035842294 0.2874551971 0.0724014337 0.0215053763 0.0164874552
1995 1.338 0.803 0.387 0.098 0.029 0.021 0.6001494768 0.2892376682 0.0732436472 0.0216741405 0.0156950673
1996 1.271 0.755 0.372 0.094 0.028 0.021 0.5940204563 0.2926829268 0.0739575138 0.0220298977 0.0165224233
1997 1.219 0.71 0.366 0.094 0.028 0.021 0.5824446267 0.3002461034 0.0771123872 0.0229696473 0.0172272354
1998 1.233 0.718 0.371 0.094 0.028 0.02 0.5823195458 0.300892133 0.0762368208 0.0227088402 0.0162206002
1999 1.158 0.678 0.345 0.089 0.027 0.019 0.585492228 0.2979274611 0.0768566494 0.0233160622 0.0164075993
2000 1.196 0.702 0.358 0.092 0.026 0.018 0.5869565217 0.2993311037 0.0769230769 0.0217391304 0.0150501672
2001 1.224 0.721 0.369 0.09 0.027 0.018 0.5890522876 0.3014705882 0.0735294118 0.0220588235 0.0147058824
2002 1.287 0.745 0.396 0.1 0.028 0.019 0.5788655789 0.3076923077 0.0777000777 0.0217560218 0.0147630148
2003 1.333 0.766 0.415 0.105 0.029 0.019 0.5746436609 0.311327832 0.0787696924 0.0217554389 0.0142535634
2004 1.341 0.769 0.42 0.105 0.029 0.018 0.5734526473 0.3131991051 0.0782997763 0.0216256525 0.0134228188
2005 1.288 0.737 0.405 0.1 0.028 0.017 0.5722049689 0.3144409938 0.0776397516 0.0217391304 0.0131987578
2006 1.296 0.745 0.407 0.101 0.027 0.016 0.574845679 0.3140432099 0.0779320988 0.0208333333 0.012345679
2007 1.406 0.754 0.473 0.125 0.034 0.02 0.5362731152 0.3364153627 0.0889046942 0.0241820768 0.0142247511
2008 1.494 0.781 0.512 0.143 0.037 0.02 0.5227576975 0.3427041499 0.0957161981 0.0247657296 0.0133868809
2009 1.537 0.8 0.531 0.146 0.038 0.021 0.5204944697 0.3454782043 0.0949902407 0.0247234873 0.0136629798
2010 1.569 0.791 0.561 0.156 0.04 0.022 0.5041427661 0.3575525813 0.0994263862 0.0254939452 0.0140216699
Mean 1.8023461538 0.9003846154 0.5803653846 0.1750769231 0.0659038462 0.0806153846 0.5110376923 0.3210790416 0.0939394129 0.0340678971 0.0398734894
Median 1.9355 0.9555 0.6165 0.1685 0.055 0.058 0.4996159754 0.3136211575 0.0903516507 0.0277640128 0.0269588515
Standard deviation 0.3919091474 0.1107362445 0.1417480544 0.0691187799 0.0426781202 0.0714069129 0.0560888861 0.0308285928 0.0176189457 0.0150116983 0.0287386606
Slope for best linear fit (using linear regression) -0.0220988645 -0.0060391019 -0.0058041919 -0.0035825152 -0.0024189789 -0.0042557842 0.0028965365 0.0004710789 -0.000771175 -0.0008434406 -0.0017542246
Multiplier for best logarithmic fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) 0.9873666048 0.993042486 0.9888854092 0.9797147369 0.9656178273 0.9438451901 1.0057485043 1.0015382376 0.9922502261 0.977972946 0.9559217271

TFR40 broken down by birth order

Year TFR40 TFR40_1 TFR40_2 TFR40_3 TFR40_4 TFR40_5+ TFR40_1 proportion TFR40_2 proportion TFR40_3 proportion TFR40_4 proportion TFR40_5+ proportion
1959 2.467 1.036 0.711 0.339 0.175 0.206 0.4199432509 0.2882042967 0.137413863 0.07093636 0.0835022294
1960 2.447 1.015 0.717 0.343 0.172 0.2 0.4147936248 0.2930118512 0.1401716387 0.0702901512 0.081732734
1961 2.363 1.03 0.68 0.315 0.157 0.181 0.4358865848 0.2877697842 0.1333051206 0.0664409649 0.0765975455
1962 2.252 1.001 0.651 0.29 0.144 0.166 0.4444937833 0.2890763766 0.1287744227 0.0639431616 0.0737122558
1963 2.201 0.998 0.64 0.276 0.133 0.155 0.453430259 0.2907769196 0.1253975466 0.0604270786 0.0704225352
1964 2.084 0.98 0.6 0.244 0.119 0.142 0.4702495202 0.2879078695 0.1170825336 0.0571017274 0.0681381958
1965 2.017 0.95 0.585 0.232 0.113 0.137 0.4709965295 0.290034705 0.1150223104 0.0560237977 0.0679226574
1966 2.032 0.964 0.598 0.226 0.109 0.136 0.4744094488 0.2942913386 0.1112204724 0.0536417323 0.0669291339
1967 1.947 0.935 0.585 0.204 0.097 0.125 0.4802259887 0.3004622496 0.1047765794 0.0498202363 0.0642013354
1968 1.913 0.926 0.585 0.194 0.091 0.119 0.4840564558 0.3058024046 0.1014113957 0.0475692629 0.0622059592
1969 1.933 0.941 0.613 0.187 0.084 0.108 0.4868080704 0.317123642 0.0967408174 0.0434557682 0.055871702
1970 1.947 0.981 0.606 0.183 0.077 0.101 0.5038520801 0.311248074 0.093990755 0.0395480226 0.051874679
1971 1.979 0.996 0.631 0.183 0.076 0.093 0.5032844871 0.318847903 0.0924709449 0.038403234 0.046993431
1972 1.982 0.988 0.657 0.178 0.07 0.088 0.4984863774 0.3314833502 0.0898082745 0.0353178607 0.0443995964
1973 1.919 0.955 0.646 0.172 0.065 0.082 0.4976550287 0.3366336634 0.0896300156 0.0338718082 0.0427305888
1974 1.953 0.979 0.657 0.173 0.065 0.079 0.5012800819 0.33640553 0.0885816692 0.0332821301 0.0404505888
1975 1.931 0.972 0.655 0.166 0.064 0.074 0.5033661315 0.3392024858 0.0859658208 0.033143449 0.0383221129
1976 1.915 0.971 0.655 0.161 0.058 0.069 0.5070496084 0.3420365535 0.084073107 0.0302872063 0.0360313316
1977 1.884 0.956 0.652 0.157 0.054 0.064 0.5074309979 0.3460721868 0.0833333333 0.0286624204 0.033970276
1978 1.867 0.961 0.645 0.152 0.05 0.059 0.5147295126 0.3454740225 0.0814140332 0.026780932 0.0316014997
1979 1.836 0.961 0.628 0.145 0.048 0.055 0.5234204793 0.3420479303 0.0789760349 0.0261437908 0.029956427
1980 1.837 0.963 0.638 0.142 0.045 0.049 0.5242242787 0.3473053892 0.0772999456 0.0244964616 0.0266739249
1981 1.857 0.942 0.67 0.151 0.046 0.048 0.50726979 0.3607969844 0.0813139472 0.0247711362 0.0258481422
1982 1.931 0.941 0.72 0.172 0.05 0.047 0.4873122734 0.3728638011 0.0890730192 0.0258933195 0.0243397204
1983 2.063 0.954 0.808 0.199 0.055 0.048 0.4624333495 0.3916626272 0.0964614639 0.0266602036 0.0232670868
1984 2.027 0.965 0.762 0.201 0.054 0.046 0.4760730143 0.3759250123 0.0991613222 0.0266403552 0.0226936359
1985 2.028 0.963 0.752 0.209 0.057 0.047 0.474852071 0.3708086785 0.1030571992 0.0281065089 0.0231755424
1986 2.152 0.977 0.82 0.241 0.063 0.051 0.4539962825 0.3810408922 0.1119888476 0.0292750929 0.0236988848
1987 2.202 1 0.837 0.25 0.065 0.05 0.4541326067 0.3801089918 0.1135331517 0.0295186194 0.0227066303
1988 2.116 1.007 0.773 0.227 0.06 0.048 0.4758979206 0.3653119093 0.1072778828 0.0283553875 0.02268431
1989 1.995 1.003 0.697 0.197 0.054 0.044 0.5027568922 0.3493734336 0.0987468672 0.0270676692 0.0220551378
1990 1.874 0.993 0.62 0.173 0.049 0.039 0.5298826041 0.3308431163 0.0923159018 0.0261472785 0.0208110993
1991 1.715 0.95 0.536 0.15 0.044 0.035 0.5539358601 0.3125364431 0.0874635569 0.0256559767 0.0204081633
1992 1.532 0.888 0.455 0.123 0.038 0.029 0.5796344648 0.296997389 0.0802872063 0.0248041775 0.0189295039
1993 1.358 0.818 0.393 0.098 0.029 0.021 0.6023564065 0.2893961708 0.0721649485 0.0213549337 0.0154639175
1994 1.383 0.84 0.398 0.098 0.028 0.02 0.6073752711 0.287780188 0.0708604483 0.0202458424 0.014461316
1995 1.327 0.801 0.385 0.095 0.027 0.019 0.6036171816 0.2901281085 0.0715900528 0.0203466466 0.0143180106
1996 1.259 0.753 0.37 0.092 0.027 0.018 0.5980937252 0.2938840349 0.0730738681 0.0214455917 0.0142970612
1997 1.208 0.708 0.364 0.092 0.027 0.018 0.5860927152 0.3013245033 0.0761589404 0.0223509934 0.0149006623
1998 1.221 0.716 0.368 0.092 0.027 0.018 0.5864045864 0.3013923014 0.0753480753 0.0221130221 0.0147420147
1999 1.146 0.676 0.342 0.087 0.025 0.017 0.589877836 0.2984293194 0.0759162304 0.0218150087 0.0148342059
2000 1.183 0.7 0.355 0.089 0.024 0.015 0.5917159763 0.3000845309 0.0752324598 0.0202874049 0.0126796281
2001 1.211 0.718 0.366 0.087 0.025 0.015 0.592898431 0.3022295623 0.0718414533 0.0206440958 0.0123864575
2002 1.274 0.743 0.393 0.096 0.026 0.016 0.5832025118 0.308477237 0.0753532182 0.0204081633 0.0125588697
2003 1.318 0.764 0.411 0.101 0.026 0.016 0.5796661608 0.3118361153 0.0766312595 0.0197268589 0.0121396055
2004 1.325 0.766 0.416 0.1 0.027 0.016 0.5781132075 0.3139622642 0.0754716981 0.0203773585 0.0120754717
2005 1.271 0.735 0.401 0.096 0.026 0.014 0.5782848151 0.3154996066 0.0755310779 0.0204563336 0.0110149489
2006 1.278 0.743 0.402 0.096 0.024 0.013 0.5813771518 0.3145539906 0.0751173709 0.0187793427 0.010172144
2007 1.385 0.751 0.466 0.119 0.031 0.017 0.5422382671 0.3364620939 0.0859205776 0.0223826715 0.0122743682
2008 1.469 0.778 0.504 0.136 0.034 0.017 0.5296119809 0.3430905378 0.0925799864 0.0231449966 0.0115724983
2009 1.509 0.797 0.522 0.138 0.034 0.018 0.5281643472 0.3459244533 0.0914512922 0.0225314778 0.0119284294
2010 1.538 0.787 0.551 0.147 0.036 0.018 0.5117035111 0.3582574772 0.0955786736 0.0234070221 0.0117035111
Mean 1.7665576923 0.8968461538 0.5748461538 0.1695 0.0616153846 0.0639615385 0.5182508422 0.3238884673 0.0927569737 0.0325827124 0.0326611869
Median 1.8985 0.952 0.6095 0.1635 0.052 0.048 0.5071596992 0.3150267986 0.0893515174 0.0266502794 0.0232213146
Standard deviation 0.3715297689 0.1098191713 0.1406599828 0.0671166675 0.0396678137 0.0533324613 0.0535542086 0.0300526857 0.0183255951 0.0147227068 0.0223004327
Slope for best linear fit (using linear regression) -0.0206610177 -0.0059612396 -0.0057302143 -0.0034911637 -0.0022601383 -0.0032177922 0.002712078 0.0003246897 -0.0008345958 -0.0008312669 -0.0013686333
Multiplier for best logarithmic fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) 0.9878851946 0.993100907 0.9889134528 0.9795261356 0.9653766226 0.9464026482 1.0052796746 1.0010408681 0.9915384308 0.977215397 0.9580087376

Data 1800 onward: lower quality data based on reconstruction from other data

The data here are lower quality than the other data, even for recent years. They are based on various reconstructions and estimates, and are not sufficiently reliable for calculating year-on-year changes. However, broad trends may still be discerned.

The data sets correlate highly. For the years 1947-2009, where both data sets are available, the correlation is 0.982, indicating fairly good but not perfect agreement in the trend. The values themselves differ only slightly, both additively and multiplicatively, as the table below shows.

Year Russia's TFR according to Gapminder (low quality data) Russia's TFR according to HFD (high quality data) Difference Ratio
1800 6.73
1801
1802
1803
1804
1805
1806
1807
1808
1809
1810
1811
1812
1813
1814
1815
1816
1817
1818
1819
1820
1821
1822
1823
1824
1825
1826
1827
1828
1829
1830
1831
1832
1833
1834
1835
1836
1837
1838
1839
1840 6.73
1841
1842
1843 6.7268
1844
1845
1846
1847
1848 6.7938
1849
1850
1851
1852
1853 6.7804
1854
1855
1856
1857
1858
1859
1860
1861 6.6598
1862
1863
1864
1865
1866
1867 6.7402
1868
1869
1870
1871
1872 6.5794
1873
1874
1875
1876
1877 6.6062
1878
1879
1880
1881
1882 6.7536
1883
1884
1885
1886
1887 6.365
1888
1889
1890
1891
1892 6.3248
1893
1894
1895
1896
1897
1898 7.3
1899
1900
1901
1902
1903 7.12
1904
1905
1906
1907
1908 7.17
1909
1910
1911
1912
1913 6.3
1914
1915
1916
1917
1918 5.23
1919
1920
1921
1922
1923 6.16
1924
1925
1926
1927
1928 6.38
1929
1930
1931
1932
1933 4.51
1934
1935
1936
1937
1938 4.74
1939
1940
1941
1942
1943 2.6
1944
1945
1946
1947
1948
1949
1950 2.814
1951 2.827
1952 2.848
1953 2.863
1954 2.87
1955 2.869
1956 2.86
1957 2.843
1958 2.815
1959 2.776 2.583 -0.193 0.9304755043
1960 2.723 2.556 -0.167 0.9386705839
1961 2.655 2.458 -0.197 0.9258003766
1962 2.571 2.34 -0.231 0.9101516919
1963 2.474 2.283 -0.191 0.9227970897
1964 2.369 2.16 -0.209 0.9117771211
1965 2.265 2.087 -0.178 0.9214128035
1966 2.17 2.098 -0.072 0.9668202765
1967 2.093 2.006 -0.087 0.9584328715
1968 2.038 1.97 -0.068 0.9666339549
1969 2.005 1.984 -0.021 0.9895261845
1970 1.991 1.995 0.004 1.0020090407
1971 1.991 2.024 0.033 1.0165745856
1972 1.993 2.027 0.034 1.017059709
1973 1.993 1.962 -0.031 0.9844455595
1974 1.987 1.995 0.008 1.0040261701
1975 1.976 1.971 -0.005 0.9974696356
1976 1.964 1.953 -0.011 0.9943991853
1977 1.956 1.918 -0.038 0.9805725971
1978 1.955 1.899 -0.056 0.9713554987
1979 1.963 1.865 -0.098 0.9500764137
1980 1.979 1.863 -0.116 0.9413845376
1981 2.006 1.882 -0.124 0.9381854437
1982 2.041 1.956 -0.085 0.9583537482
1983 2.077 2.088 0.011 1.0052961001
1984 2.11 2.051 -0.059 0.9720379147
1985 2.131 2.051 -0.08 0.9624589395
1986 2.129 2.177 0.048 1.0225457961
1987 2.101 2.229 0.128 1.0609233698
1988 2.046 2.142 0.096 1.0469208211
1989 1.964 2.018 0.054 1.0274949084
1990 1.861 1.894 0.033 1.0177324019
1991 1.745 1.733 -0.012 0.9931232092
1992 1.628 1.549 -0.079 0.9514742015
1993 1.519 1.37 -0.149 0.9019091508
1994 1.425 1.395 -0.03 0.9789473684
1995 1.35 1.338 -0.012 0.9911111111
1996 1.296 1.271 -0.025 0.9807098765
1997 1.261 1.219 -0.042 0.9666931007
1998 1.24 1.233 -0.007 0.9943548387
1999 1.233 1.158 -0.075 0.9391727494
2000 1.238 1.196 -0.042 0.9660743134
2001 1.253 1.224 -0.029 0.9768555467
2002 1.276 1.287 0.011 1.0086206897
2003 1.304 1.333 0.029 1.0222392638
2004 1.334 1.341 0.007 1.0052473763
2005 1.364 1.288 -0.076 0.9442815249
2006 1.393 1.296 -0.097 0.9303661163
2007 1.42 1.406 -0.014 0.9901408451
2008 1.446 1.494 0.048 1.0331950207
2009 1.468 1.537 0.069 1.0470027248
2010 1.489 1.569 0.08 1.0537273338
2011 1.506
2012 1.522
Average (1959-2010) -0.0444807692 0.9786359076
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