Fertility in France: Difference between revisions
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* [[Marriage in France]] | * [[Marriage in France]] | ||
* [[Abortion in France]] | * [[Abortion in France]] | ||
==References== | |||
* {{paperlink|welfare-family-fertility-Europe}} | |||
* {{paperlink|comparative family policy analysis}} | |||
* {{paperlink|French-immigrant-fertility}} | |||
Revision as of 00:16, 21 March 2014
This page gives information of type fertility about the country France.
See all pages giving information on fertility for particular countries|See all pages giving information about France
Data sources
Some data on this page comes from the Human Fertility Database (website www.humanfertility.org) (data downloaded February 2014, last updated by HFD December 2012). The data collected by the Human Fertility Database is based on government data collection by the government of France. You can download the data yourself here. Details about the modalities of data collection are available here. Where available, we use HFD data because of its higher reliability.
Qualitative history of fertility-relevant events and trends
Key events
The event summary here is adapted from a discussion in What to Expect When You're Expecting by Jonathan Last.
| Year | Event | Postulated effects seen in fertility statistics |
|---|---|---|
| 1938 | the state created the Family Code (Code de la famille ), which provided an annual stipend (colloquially known as the “Housewife’s Allowance”) to parents for each child. | data unavailable |
| 1978 | Housewife's Allowance was abolished, replaced by state-run day-care centers and a National Family Allowance Fund. The stipend just covered the costs of sending the kids to the new day-care facilities. | downward trend in fertility reversed for the 4-5 years immediately following the change, but then resumed. |
| 1997 | "New Family Policy" that provides increased subsidies to families with multiple children, with the per-child subsidy increasing as the number of children increases. | downward trend in fertility reversed following the change, but the contribution of the change is unclear (because much of the increased fertility was from recently migrated people and the persistence of the fertility increase may have been due to more migration rather than the policy changes). |
Period fertility
| Year | Crude birth rate (CBR) (births per 1000 people) | CBR minus previous year's CBR | Total fertility rate (TFR) (sum of all age-specific fertility rates), ballpark for replacement fertility is 2.1 | TFR minus previous year's TFR | TFR40 | TFR40 minus previous year's TFR40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1946 | 20.95 | 2.997 | 2.879 | |||
| 1947 | 21.39 | 0.44 | 3.038 | 0.041 | 2.917 | 0.038 |
| 1948 | 21.18 | -0.21 | 3.02 | -0.018 | 2.901 | -0.016 |
| 1949 | 21.03 | -0.15 | 3.004 | -0.016 | 2.89 | -0.011 |
| 1950 | 20.61 | -0.42 | 2.947 | -0.057 | 2.837 | -0.053 |
| 1951 | 19.61 | -1 | 2.806 | -0.141 | 2.702 | -0.135 |
| 1952 | 19.36 | -0.25 | 2.777 | -0.029 | 2.675 | -0.027 |
| 1953 | 18.82 | -0.54 | 2.704 | -0.073 | 2.609 | -0.066 |
| 1954 | 18.83 | 0.01 | 2.715 | 0.011 | 2.619 | 0.01 |
| 1955 | 18.55 | -0.28 | 2.684 | -0.031 | 2.592 | -0.027 |
| 1956 | 18.4 | -0.15 | 2.674 | -0.01 | 2.585 | -0.007 |
| 1957 | 18.42 | 0.02 | 2.695 | 0.021 | 2.607 | 0.022 |
| 1958 | 18.13 | -0.29 | 2.684 | -0.011 | 2.596 | -0.011 |
| 1959 | 18.33 | 0.2 | 2.753 | 0.069 | 2.664 | 0.068 |
| 1960 | 17.94 | -0.39 | 2.741 | -0.012 | 2.657 | -0.007 |
| 1961 | 18.16 | 0.22 | 2.826 | 0.085 | 2.742 | 0.085 |
| 1962 | 17.71 | -0.45 | 2.796 | -0.03 | 2.716 | -0.026 |
| 1963 | 18.17 | 0.46 | 2.897 | 0.101 | 2.818 | 0.102 |
| 1964 | 18.17 | 0 | 2.915 | 0.018 | 2.836 | 0.018 |
| 1965 | 17.76 | -0.41 | 2.848 | -0.067 | 2.773 | -0.063 |
| 1966 | 17.56 | -0.2 | 2.799 | -0.049 | 2.725 | -0.048 |
| 1967 | 16.97 | -0.59 | 2.67 | -0.129 | 2.601 | -0.124 |
| 1968 | 16.75 | -0.22 | 2.587 | -0.083 | 2.52 | -0.081 |
| 1969 | 16.74 | -0.01 | 2.534 | -0.053 | 2.468 | -0.052 |
| 1970 | 16.75 | 0.01 | 2.48 | -0.054 | 2.419 | -0.049 |
| 1971 | 17.2 | 0.45 | 2.496 | 0.016 | 2.435 | 0.016 |
| 1972 | 16.98 | -0.22 | 2.418 | -0.078 | 2.361 | -0.074 |
| 1973 | 16.45 | -0.53 | 2.308 | -0.11 | 2.256 | -0.105 |
| 1974 | 15.28 | -1.17 | 2.112 | -0.196 | 2.066 | -0.19 |
| 1975 | 14.14 | -1.14 | 1.927 | -0.185 | 1.89 | -0.176 |
| 1976 | 13.62 | -0.52 | 1.83 | -0.097 | 1.8 | -0.09 |
| 1977 | 14.01 | 0.39 | 1.863 | 0.033 | 1.835 | 0.035 |
| 1978 | 13.81 | -0.2 | 1.823 | -0.04 | 1.798 | -0.037 |
| 1979 | 14.13 | 0.32 | 1.856 | 0.033 | 1.832 | 0.034 |
| 1980 | 14.86 | 0.73 | 1.946 | 0.09 | 1.922 | 0.09 |
| 1981 | 14.87 | 0.01 | 1.946 | 0 | 1.921 | -0.001 |
| 1982 | 14.63 | -0.24 | 1.913 | -0.033 | 1.888 | -0.033 |
| 1983 | 13.67 | -0.96 | 1.785 | -0.128 | 1.761 | -0.127 |
| 1984 | 13.81 | 0.14 | 1.802 | 0.017 | 1.778 | 0.017 |
| 1985 | 13.9 | 0.09 | 1.815 | 0.013 | 1.789 | 0.011 |
| 1986 | 14.02 | 0.12 | 1.832 | 0.017 | 1.806 | 0.017 |
| 1987 | 13.76 | -0.26 | 1.802 | -0.03 | 1.775 | -0.031 |
| 1988 | 13.75 | -0.01 | 1.806 | 0.004 | 1.778 | 0.003 |
| 1989 | 13.57 | -0.18 | 1.788 | -0.018 | 1.759 | -0.019 |
| 1990 | 13.45 | -0.12 | 1.779 | -0.009 | 1.748 | -0.011 |
| 1991 | 13.33 | -0.12 | 1.77 | -0.009 | 1.739 | -0.009 |
| 1992 | 12.99 | -0.34 | 1.734 | -0.036 | 1.702 | -0.037 |
| 1993 | 12.39 | -0.6 | 1.661 | -0.073 | 1.628 | -0.074 |
| 1994 | 12.34 | -0.05 | 1.663 | 0.002 | 1.63 | 0.002 |
| 1995 | 12.62 | 0.28 | 1.714 | 0.051 | 1.679 | 0.049 |
| 1996 | 12.66 | 0.04 | 1.734 | 0.02 | 1.698 | 0.019 |
| 1997 | 12.49 | -0.17 | 1.726 | -0.008 | 1.689 | -0.009 |
| 1998 | 12.64 | 0.15 | 1.764 | 0.038 | 1.725 | 0.036 |
| 1999 | 12.7 | 0.06 | 1.792 | 0.028 | 1.75 | 0.025 |
| 2000 | 13.12 | 0.42 | 1.875 | 0.083 | 1.83 | 0.08 |
| 2001 | 12.97 | -0.15 | 1.877 | 0.002 | 1.83 | 0 |
| 2002 | 12.72 | -0.25 | 1.865 | -0.012 | 1.817 | -0.013 |
| 2003 | 12.63 | -0.09 | 1.874 | 0.009 | 1.825 | 0.008 |
| 2004 | 12.65 | 0.02 | 1.898 | 0.024 | 1.847 | 0.022 |
| 2005 | 12.66 | 0.01 | 1.92 | 0.022 | 1.866 | 0.019 |
| 2006 | 12.94 | 0.28 | 1.981 | 0.061 | 1.925 | 0.059 |
| 2007 | 12.69 | -0.25 | 1.96 | -0.021 | 1.901 | -0.024 |
| 2008 | 12.78 | 0.09 | 1.991 | 0.031 | 1.93 | 0.029 |
| 2009 | 12.67 | -0.11 | 1.989 | -0.002 | 1.927 | -0.003 |
| 2010 | 12.74 | 0.07 | 2.014 | 0.025 | 1.949 | 0.022 |
| Maximum | 21.39 | 0.73 | 3.038 | 0.101 | 2.917 | 0.102 |
| Minimum | 12.34 | -1.17 | 1.661 | -0.196 | 1.628 | -0.19 |
| Average | 15.5527692308 | -0.12828125 | 2.2344615385 | -0.015359375 | 2.1758923077 | -0.01453125 |
| Median | 14.14 | -0.12 | 1.981 | -0.009 | 1.925 | -0.008 |
| Standard deviation | 2.78188027 | 0.3711823866 | 0.4684568442 | 0.0611722437 | 0.4420217091 | 0.0591261682 |
| Slope for best linear fit (using linear regression) | -0.1399344406 | 0.0038459249 | -0.0214367133 | 0.0008066621 | -0.0203286713 | 0.0007086538 |
| Multiplier for best logarithmic fit (using linear regression on logarithm) | 0.944472325 | 0.9907183044 | 0.9909318061 | |||
| for linear regression | 0.9045829739 | 0.0372167946 | 0.7486059385 | 0.0602818478 | 0.7561480487 | 0.0497990333 |
Fertility broken down further
Social structures and policies
- Demographics of France
- Population trends in France
- Migration in France
- Marriage in France
- Abortion in France
References
- Welfare States, Family Policies, and Fertility in Europe by Gerda Neyer, : Ungated PDFMore info
- A Cross-National Comparison of Family Policy by Public Policy Research Institute, Hong Kong Institute of Asia-Pacific Studies, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, (February 2008): Ungated PDFMore info
- Fertility Among Immigrant Women in France: New Data, a New Approach by Laurent Toulemon, Population Association of America Proceedings, (Year 2006): Ungated PDFMore info