Fertility in USA: Difference between revisions

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|-
|-
! Multiplier for best log-linear fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) || 0.993534563 ||  || 0.9949225462 ||  || 0.9951862764 ||  
! Multiplier for best log-linear fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) || 0.993534563 ||  || 0.9949225462 ||  || 0.9951862764 ||  
|}
===Data on total fertility rate broken down by birth order===
{| class="sortable" border="1"
! Year || TFR || TFR1 || TFR2 || TFR3 || TFR4 || TFR5+ || TFR1 proportion || TFR2 proportion || TFR3 proportion || TFR4 proportion || TFR5+ proportion
|-
| 1933 || 2.012 || 0.595 || 0.439 || 0.291 || 0.2 || 0.487 || 0.2957256461 || 0.2181908549 || 0.1446322068 || 0.0994035785 || 0.2420477137
|-
| 1934 || 2.072 || 0.642 || 0.45 || 0.294 || 0.201 || 0.485 || 0.3098455598 || 0.2171814672 || 0.1418918919 || 0.097007722 || 0.2340733591
|-
| 1935 || 2.038 || 0.671 || 0.441 || 0.28 || 0.19 || 0.455 || 0.3292443572 || 0.2163886163 || 0.1373895976 || 0.0932286555 || 0.2232580962
|-
| 1936 || 2.007 || 0.678 || 0.45 || 0.272 || 0.18 || 0.427 || 0.3378176383 || 0.2242152466 || 0.1355256602 || 0.0896860987 || 0.2127553563
|-
| 1937 || 2.038 || 0.713 || 0.466 || 0.272 || 0.176 || 0.412 || 0.3498527969 || 0.2286555447 || 0.1334641806 || 0.0863591757 || 0.2021589794
|-
| 1938 || 2.092 || 0.748 || 0.49 || 0.28 || 0.175 || 0.4 || 0.3575525813 || 0.2342256214 || 0.1338432122 || 0.0836520076 || 0.1912045889
|-
| 1939 || 2.05 || 0.732 || 0.494 || 0.278 || 0.17 || 0.376 || 0.3570731707 || 0.2409756098 || 0.1356097561 || 0.0829268293 || 0.1834146341
|-
| 1940 || 2.113 || 0.751 || 0.524 || 0.292 || 0.174 || 0.372 || 0.3554188358 || 0.2479886417 || 0.1381921439 || 0.0823473734 || 0.1760530052
|-
| 1941 || 2.226 || 0.835 || 0.551 || 0.302 || 0.176 || 0.362 || 0.3751123091 || 0.2475292004 || 0.1356693621 || 0.0790655885 || 0.16262354
|-
| 1942 || 2.465 || 0.985 || 0.617 || 0.324 || 0.183 || 0.357 || 0.3995943205 || 0.2503042596 || 0.1314401623 || 0.0742393509 || 0.1448275862
|-
| 1943 || 2.566 || 0.923 || 0.691 || 0.371 || 0.205 || 0.376 || 0.3597038192 || 0.2692907249 || 0.1445830086 || 0.0798908807 || 0.1465315666
|-
| 1944 || 2.439 || 0.815 || 0.651 || 0.382 || 0.212 || 0.379 || 0.3341533415 || 0.2669126691 || 0.1566215662 || 0.0869208692 || 0.1553915539
|-
| 1945 || 2.38 || 0.788 || 0.633 || 0.374 || 0.209 || 0.376 || 0.331092437 || 0.2659663866 || 0.1571428571 || 0.0878151261 || 0.1579831933
|-
| 1946 || 2.83 || 1.061 || 0.772 || 0.406 || 0.219 || 0.371 || 0.3749116608 || 0.2727915194 || 0.1434628975 || 0.077385159 || 0.1310954064
|-
| 1947 || 3.161 || 1.3 || 0.84 || 0.435 || 0.222 || 0.365 || 0.4112622588 || 0.2657386903 || 0.1376146789 || 0.0702309396 || 0.115469788
|-
| 1948 || 3.009 || 1.116 || 0.862 || 0.449 || 0.224 || 0.357 || 0.370887338 || 0.2864739116 || 0.1492190096 || 0.0744433367 || 0.1186440678
|-
| 1949 || 3.022 || 1.036 || 0.9 || 0.48 || 0.24 || 0.367 || 0.342819325 || 0.2978160159 || 0.1588352085 || 0.0794176042 || 0.1214427531
|-
| 1950 || 3.02 || 0.97 || 0.908 || 0.518 || 0.257 || 0.368 || 0.321192053 || 0.3006622517 || 0.1715231788 || 0.0850993377 || 0.1218543046
|-
| 1951 || 3.203 || 1.032 || 0.932 || 0.565 || 0.287 || 0.386 || 0.3221979394 || 0.2909772089 || 0.1763971277 || 0.0896034967 || 0.12051202
|-
| 1952 || 3.302 || 1.022 || 0.946 || 0.608 || 0.318 || 0.408 || 0.3095093882 || 0.2864930345 || 0.1841308298 || 0.0963052695 || 0.1235614779
|-
| 1953 || 3.372 || 1.017 || 0.955 || 0.629 || 0.34 || 0.431 || 0.3016014235 || 0.2832147094 || 0.1865361803 || 0.1008303677 || 0.1278173191
|-
| 1954 || 3.494 || 1.034 || 0.966 || 0.661 || 0.367 || 0.465 || 0.2959358901 || 0.2764739554 || 0.1891814539 || 0.1050372066 || 0.1330852891
|-
| 1955 || 3.538 || 1.02 || 0.963 || 0.679 || 0.385 || 0.491 || 0.2882984737 || 0.2721876767 || 0.1919163369 || 0.1088185415 || 0.1387789712
|-
| 1956 || 3.654 || 1.044 || 0.976 || 0.704 || 0.407 || 0.524 || 0.2857142857 || 0.267104543 || 0.192665572 || 0.1113847838 || 0.1434044882
|-
| 1957 || 3.738 || 1.049 || 0.981 || 0.724 || 0.428 || 0.556 || 0.2806313537 || 0.2624398074 || 0.1936864633 || 0.1144997325 || 0.1487426431
|-
| 1958 || 3.689 || 1.002 || 0.96 || 0.718 || 0.437 || 0.573 || 0.2716183247 || 0.2602331255 || 0.1946326918 || 0.1184602873 || 0.1553266468
|-
| 1959 || 3.689 || 0.972 || 0.943 || 0.721 || 0.45 || 0.603 || 0.2634860396 || 0.2556248306 || 0.1954459203 || 0.1219842776 || 0.163458932
|-
| 1960 || 3.667 || 0.945 || 0.919 || 0.72 || 0.458 || 0.625 || 0.2577038451 || 0.2506135806 || 0.1963457867 || 0.1248977366 || 0.170439051
|-
| 1961 || 3.626 || 0.923 || 0.884 || 0.708 || 0.461 || 0.65 || 0.2545504688 || 0.2437948152 || 0.195256481 || 0.1271373414 || 0.1792608935
|-
| 1962 || 3.481 || 0.881 || 0.838 || 0.673 || 0.444 || 0.644 || 0.253088193 || 0.2407354209 || 0.1933352485 || 0.1275495547 || 0.1850043091
|-
| 1963 || 3.354 || 0.863 || 0.804 || 0.636 || 0.424 || 0.627 || 0.2573047108 || 0.2397137746 || 0.1896243292 || 0.1264162194 || 0.186940966
|-
| 1964 || 3.222 || 0.859 || 0.764 || 0.598 || 0.399 || 0.601 || 0.2666045934 || 0.2371198014 || 0.1855990068 || 0.1238361266 || 0.1865301055
|-
| 1965 || 2.926 || 0.819 || 0.7 || 0.527 || 0.349 || 0.533 || 0.2799043062 || 0.2392344498 || 0.1801093643 || 0.1192754614 || 0.1821599453
|-
| 1966 || 2.714 || 0.83 || 0.66 || 0.465 || 0.299 || 0.46 || 0.3058216654 || 0.243183493 || 0.1713338246 || 0.1101694915 || 0.1694915254
|-
| 1967 || 2.564 || 0.807 || 0.65 || 0.433 || 0.27 || 0.404 || 0.3147425897 || 0.2535101404 || 0.1688767551 || 0.1053042122 || 0.1575663027
|-
| 1968 || 2.467 || 0.83 || 0.637 || 0.406 || 0.244 || 0.352 || 0.3364410215 || 0.2582083502 || 0.1645723551 || 0.0989055533 || 0.1426834212
|-
| 1969 || 2.457 || 0.835 || 0.652 || 0.408 || 0.237 || 0.325 || 0.3398453398 || 0.2653642654 || 0.1660561661 || 0.0964590965 || 0.1322751323
|-
| 1970 || 2.461 || 0.86 || 0.664 || 0.408 || 0.228 || 0.3 || 0.3494514425 || 0.2698090207 || 0.1657862657 || 0.0926452662 || 0.121901666
|-
| 1971 || 2.268 || 0.804 || 0.63 || 0.37 || 0.202 || 0.261 || 0.3544973545 || 0.2777777778 || 0.1631393298 || 0.0890652557 || 0.1150793651
|-
| 1972 || 2.008 || 0.744 || 0.582 || 0.311 || 0.165 || 0.206 || 0.3705179283 || 0.2898406375 || 0.1548804781 || 0.0821713147 || 0.1025896414
|-
| 1973 || 1.871 || 0.714 || 0.565 || 0.283 || 0.14 || 0.169 || 0.3816141101 || 0.3019775521 || 0.1512560128 || 0.0748262961 || 0.0903260289
|-
| 1974 || 1.827 || 0.715 || 0.572 || 0.272 || 0.127 || 0.143 || 0.3913519431 || 0.3130815545 || 0.148877942 || 0.0695128626 || 0.0782703886
|-
| 1975 || 1.769 || 0.7 || 0.557 || 0.266 || 0.118 || 0.127 || 0.3957037875 || 0.3148671566 || 0.1503674392 || 0.0667043527 || 0.0717919729
|-
| 1976 || 1.739 || 0.691 || 0.554 || 0.267 || 0.113 || 0.115 || 0.3973548016 || 0.318573893 || 0.1535365152 || 0.0649798735 || 0.0661299597
|-
| 1977 || 1.783 || 0.711 || 0.572 || 0.279 || 0.114 || 0.108 || 0.3987661245 || 0.3208076276 || 0.1564778463 || 0.0639371845 || 0.0605720695
|-
| 1978 || 1.747 || 0.707 || 0.559 || 0.274 || 0.11 || 0.098 || 0.4046937607 || 0.3199771036 || 0.1568402977 || 0.062965083 || 0.0560961649
|-
| 1979 || 1.795 || 0.734 || 0.574 || 0.281 || 0.111 || 0.094 || 0.408913649 || 0.3197771588 || 0.156545961 || 0.0618384401 || 0.052367688
|-
| 1980 || 1.821 || 0.761 || 0.578 || 0.281 || 0.11 || 0.091 || 0.4179022515 || 0.3174080176 || 0.1543108182 || 0.0604063701 || 0.0499725426
|-
| 1981 || 1.805 || 0.758 || 0.575 || 0.278 || 0.108 || 0.085 || 0.4199445983 || 0.3185595568 || 0.1540166205 || 0.059833795 || 0.0470914127
|-
| 1982 || 1.814 || 0.759 || 0.586 || 0.28 || 0.107 || 0.082 || 0.4184123484 || 0.3230429989 || 0.1543550165 || 0.058985667 || 0.0452039691
|-
| 1983 || 1.783 || 0.748 || 0.578 || 0.274 || 0.105 || 0.078 || 0.4195176669 || 0.3241727426 || 0.1536735838 || 0.0588895121 || 0.0437464947
|-
| 1984 || 1.792 || 0.751 || 0.587 || 0.276 || 0.104 || 0.075 || 0.4190848214 || 0.3275669643 || 0.1540178571 || 0.0580357143 || 0.0418526786
|-
| 1985 || 1.835 || 0.769 || 0.602 || 0.285 || 0.106 || 0.073 || 0.4190735695 || 0.3280653951 || 0.1553133515 || 0.0577656676 || 0.0397820163
|-
| 1986 || 1.835 || 0.773 || 0.598 || 0.286 || 0.106 || 0.072 || 0.421253406 || 0.3258855586 || 0.1558583106 || 0.0577656676 || 0.0392370572
|-
| 1987 || 1.865 || 0.783 || 0.606 || 0.294 || 0.109 || 0.072 || 0.4198391421 || 0.3249329759 || 0.1576407507 || 0.0584450402 || 0.0386058981
|-
| 1988 || 1.922 || 0.804 || 0.622 || 0.306 || 0.115 || 0.075 || 0.418314256 || 0.3236212279 || 0.1592091571 || 0.0598335068 || 0.0390218522
|-
| 1989 || 1.999 || 0.839 || 0.64 || 0.32 || 0.121 || 0.079 || 0.4197098549 || 0.32016008 || 0.16008004 || 0.0605302651 || 0.0395197599
|-
| 1990 || 2.069 || 0.869 || 0.659 || 0.331 || 0.127 || 0.083 || 0.4200096665 || 0.3185113581 || 0.159980667 || 0.0613823103 || 0.0401159981
|-
| 1991 || 2.058 || 0.865 || 0.653 || 0.328 || 0.127 || 0.085 || 0.4203109815 || 0.3172983479 || 0.1593780369 || 0.0617103984 || 0.0413022352
|-
| 1992 || 2.043 || 0.853 || 0.654 || 0.325 || 0.126 || 0.085 || 0.4175232501 || 0.3201174743 || 0.1590797846 || 0.0616740088 || 0.0416054821
|-
| 1993 || 2.019 || 0.852 || 0.646 || 0.316 || 0.123 || 0.083 || 0.4219910847 || 0.3199603764 || 0.1565131253 || 0.0609212481 || 0.0411094601
|-
| 1994 || 2.003 || 0.855 || 0.638 || 0.311 || 0.119 || 0.08 || 0.4268597104 || 0.3185222167 || 0.1552670994 || 0.0594108837 || 0.0399400899
|-
| 1995 || 1.982 || 0.852 || 0.631 || 0.306 || 0.116 || 0.077 || 0.4298688194 || 0.3183652876 || 0.1543895055 || 0.0585267407 || 0.0388496468
|-
| 1996 || 1.98 || 0.837 || 0.637 || 0.311 || 0.118 || 0.078 || 0.4227272727 || 0.3217171717 || 0.1570707071 || 0.0595959596 || 0.0393939394
|-
| 1997 || 1.974 || 0.823 || 0.64 || 0.314 || 0.119 || 0.078 || 0.4169199595 || 0.3242147923 || 0.1590678825 || 0.0602836879 || 0.0395136778
|-
| 1998 || 2.003 || 0.821 || 0.655 || 0.325 || 0.123 || 0.079 || 0.4098851722 || 0.3270094858 || 0.1622566151 || 0.0614078882 || 0.0394408387
|-
| 1999 || 2.009 || 0.82 || 0.656 || 0.329 || 0.124 || 0.079 || 0.4081632653 || 0.3265306122 || 0.1637630662 || 0.0617222499 || 0.0393230463
|-
| 2000 || 2.054 || 0.832 || 0.668 || 0.341 || 0.13 || 0.082 || 0.4050632911 || 0.3252190847 || 0.1660175268 || 0.0632911392 || 0.0399221032
|-
| 2001 || 2.031 || 0.813 || 0.664 || 0.341 || 0.132 || 0.083 || 0.400295421 || 0.3269325455 || 0.1678975874 || 0.0649926145 || 0.0408665682
|-
| 2002 || 2.024 || 0.808 || 0.66 || 0.34 || 0.132 || 0.084 || 0.3992094862 || 0.3260869565 || 0.1679841897 || 0.0652173913 || 0.0415019763
|-
| 2003 || 2.053 || 0.824 || 0.666 || 0.344 || 0.134 || 0.085 || 0.4013638578 || 0.3244033122 || 0.1675596688 || 0.0652703361 || 0.0414028251
|-
| 2004 || 2.058 || 0.82 || 0.664 || 0.349 || 0.137 || 0.087 || 0.3984450923 || 0.3226433431 || 0.1695821186 || 0.0665694849 || 0.0422740525
|-
| 2005 || 2.061 || 0.817 || 0.665 || 0.351 || 0.14 || 0.089 || 0.3964095099 || 0.3226589034 || 0.1703056769 || 0.0679281902 || 0.0431829209
|-
| 2006 || 2.112 || 0.84 || 0.676 || 0.359 || 0.145 || 0.092 || 0.3977272727 || 0.3200757576 || 0.1699810606 || 0.068655303 || 0.0435606061
|-
| 2007 || 2.122 || 0.846 || 0.676 || 0.36 || 0.146 || 0.094 || 0.3986804901 || 0.3185673893 || 0.1696512724 || 0.068803016 || 0.0442978322
|-
| 2008 || 2.074 || 0.829 || 0.656 || 0.349 || 0.145 || 0.094 || 0.399710704 || 0.3162970106 || 0.1682738669 || 0.0699132112 || 0.0453230473
|-
| 2009 || 2.002 || 0.801 || 0.632 || 0.335 || 0.14 || 0.094 || 0.4000999001 || 0.3156843157 || 0.1673326673 || 0.0699300699 || 0.046953047
|-
| 2010 || 1.928 || 0.771 || 0.609 || 0.321 || 0.135 || 0.092 || 0.3998962656 || 0.3158713693 || 0.1664937759 || 0.0700207469 || 0.0477178423
|-
! Mean || 2.3858333333 || 0.8425128205 || 0.6771153846 || 0.3943589744 || 0.2035128205 || 0.2684102564 || 0.3645555973 || 0.2885144401 || 0.1622614355 || 0.0807994667 || 0.1039054461
|-
! Median || 2.0595 || 0.8235 || 0.6505 || 0.333 || 0.1675 || 0.2335 || 0.3864830266 || 0.2992391338 || 0.1591444709 || 0.0743413438 || 0.1088345033
|-
! Standard deviation || 0.6196736765 || 0.1214572496 || 0.1441573798 || 0.1421416866 || 0.1072485575 || 0.1917955104 || 0.053871927 || 0.0356017852 || 0.0168704113 || 0.0212757634 || 0.0617835356
|-
! Slope for best linear fit || -0.0128025519 || -0.0010534529 || -0.0008180554 || -0.001935811 || -0.0023491698 || -0.0066476056 || 0.0014971516 || 0.0013115698 || 0.0001388892 || -0.000544514 || -0.0024036944
|-
! Multiplier for best linear fit (using log-linear regression) || 0.9949225462 || 0.999100776 || 0.9995852219 || 0.9959687334 || 0.9881189687 || 0.969534074 || 1.0041995528 || 1.004686471 || 1.0010515263 || 0.9931617014 || 0.9744819611
|}
|}

Revision as of 23:15, 27 January 2014

Data sources

Most of the data on this page comes from the Human Fertility Database (website www.humanfertility.org) (data downloaded December 2013, last updated January 2013). The data collected by the Human Fertility Database is based on government data collection by the United States government. Details about the modalities of data collection are available here.

Data on period fertility

Data on total indicators only without breakdown by birth order

Year CBR (births per 1000 people per year) CBR minus previous year's CBR TFR (sum of all age-specific fertility rates), ballpark for replacement fertility is 2.1 TFR minus previous year's TFR TFR40 (sum of age-specific fertility rates up to the age of 40), almost equal to TFR because births above the age of 40 are rare TFR40 minus previous year's TFR40
1933 16.57 2.012 1.911
1934 17.15 0.58 2.072 0.06 1.973 0.062
1935 16.93 -0.22 2.038 -0.034 1.944 -0.029
1936 16.75 -0.18 2.007 -0.031 1.919 -0.025
1937 17.09 0.34 2.038 0.031 1.955 0.036
1938 17.61 0.52 2.092 0.054 2.01 0.055
1939 17.3 -0.31 2.05 -0.042 1.974 -0.036
1940 17.88 0.58 2.113 0.063 2.037 0.063
1941 (beginning of US involvement in World War II) 18.89 1.01 2.226 0.113 2.152 0.115
1942 20.99 2.1 2.465 0.239 2.392 0.24
1943 21.92 0.93 2.566 0.101 2.489 0.097
1944 20.99 -0.93 2.439 -0.127 2.359 -0.13
1945 (end of World War II) 20.33 -0.66 2.38 -0.059 2.297 -0.062
1946 23.67 3.34 2.83 0.45 2.747 0.45
1947 25.82 2.15 3.161 0.331 3.077 0.33
1948 24.2 -1.62 3.009 -0.152 2.93 -0.147
1949 23.94 -0.26 3.022 0.013 2.945 0.015
1950 23.52 -0.42 3.02 -0.002 2.944 -0.001
1951 24.45 0.93 3.203 0.183 3.124 0.18
1952 24.7 0.25 3.302 0.099 3.222 0.098
1953 24.65 -0.05 3.372 0.07 3.292 0.07
1954 24.92 0.27 3.494 0.122 3.411 0.119
1955 24.64 -0.28 3.538 0.044 3.456 0.045
1956 24.88 0.24 3.654 0.116 3.57 0.114
1957 24.97 0.09 3.738 0.084 3.654 0.084
1958 24.25 -0.72 3.689 -0.049 3.609 -0.045
1959 23.96 -0.29 3.689 0 3.609 0
1960 23.65 -0.31 3.667 -0.022 3.587 -0.022
1961 23.33 -0.32 3.626 -0.041 3.545 -0.042
1962 22.43 -0.9 3.481 -0.145 3.403 -0.142
1963 21.74 -0.69 3.354 -0.127 3.28 -0.123
1964 21.07 -0.67 3.222 -0.132 3.149 -0.131
1965 19.43 -1.64 2.926 -0.296 2.858 -0.291
1966 18.44 -0.99 2.714 -0.212 2.651 -0.207
1967 17.83 -0.61 2.564 -0.15 2.507 -0.144
1968 17.56 -0.27 2.467 -0.097 2.416 -0.091
1969 17.86 0.3 2.457 -0.01 2.41 -0.006
1970 18.29 0.43 2.461 0.004 2.417 0.007
1971 17.2 -1.09 2.268 -0.193 2.23 -0.187
1972 15.58 -1.62 2.008 -0.26 1.975 -0.255
1973 14.85 -0.73 1.871 -0.137 1.842 -0.133
1974 14.82 -0.03 1.827 -0.044 1.802 -0.04
1975 14.6 -0.22 1.769 -0.058 1.744 -0.058
1976 14.57 -0.03 1.739 -0.03 1.716 -0.028
1977 15.14 0.57 1.783 0.044 1.761 0.045
1978 15.01 -0.13 1.747 -0.036 1.727 -0.034
1979 15.57 0.56 1.795 0.048 1.774 0.047
1980 15.91 0.34 1.821 0.026 1.801 0.027
1981 15.82 -0.09 1.805 -0.016 1.785 -0.016
1982 15.89 0.07 1.814 0.009 1.794 0.009
1983 15.57 -0.32 1.783 -0.031 1.764 -0.03
1984 15.56 -0.01 1.792 0.009 1.773 0.009
1985 15.81 0.25 1.835 0.043 1.815 0.042
1986 15.65 -0.16 1.835 0 1.814 -0.001
1987 15.73 0.08 1.865 0.03 1.843 0.029
1988 15.99 0.26 1.922 0.057 1.898 0.055
1989 16.37 0.38 1.999 0.077 1.974 0.076
1990 16.66 0.29 2.069 0.07 2.042 0.068
1991 16.26 -0.4 2.058 -0.011 2.029 -0.013
1992 15.85 -0.41 2.043 -0.015 2.013 -0.016
1993 15.4 -0.45 2.019 -0.024 1.988 -0.025
1994 15.03 -0.37 2.003 -0.016 1.971 -0.017
1995 14.66 -0.37 1.982 -0.021 1.948 -0.023
1996 14.46 -0.2 1.98 -0.002 1.945 -0.003
1997 14.25 -0.21 1.974 -0.006 1.938 -0.007
1998 14.3 0.05 2.003 0.029 1.965 0.027
1999 14.21 -0.09 2.009 0.006 1.97 0.005
2000 14.41 0.2 2.054 0.045 2.012 0.042
2001 14.15 -0.26 2.031 -0.023 1.989 -0.023
2002 14 -0.15 2.024 -0.007 1.981 -0.008
2003 14.11 0.11 2.053 0.029 2.007 0.026
2004 14.06 -0.05 2.058 0.005 2.01 0.003
2005 14.01 -0.05 2.061 0.003 2.012 0.002
2006 14.3 0.29 2.112 0.051 2.061 0.049
2007 14.33 0.03 2.122 0.01 2.07 0.009
2008 13.97 -0.36 2.074 -0.048 2.02 -0.05
2009 13.47 -0.5 2.002 -0.072 1.948 -0.072
2010 12.94 -0.53 1.928 -0.074 1.874 -0.074
Mean 18.0137179487 -0.0471428571 2.3858333333 -0.0010909091 2.3314102564 -0.0004805195
Median 16.615 -0.13 2.0595 -0.002 2.012 -0.001
Standard deviation 3.8378718091 0.7508203534 0.6196736765 0.1109433452 0.6026563156 0.1096561144
Slope for best linear fit (using linear regression) -0.1170643281 -0.0066822651 -0.0128025519 -0.0008526999 -0.0119700806 -0.000900021
Multiplier for best log-linear fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) 0.993534563 0.9949225462 0.9951862764

Data on total fertility rate broken down by birth order

Year TFR TFR1 TFR2 TFR3 TFR4 TFR5+ TFR1 proportion TFR2 proportion TFR3 proportion TFR4 proportion TFR5+ proportion
1933 2.012 0.595 0.439 0.291 0.2 0.487 0.2957256461 0.2181908549 0.1446322068 0.0994035785 0.2420477137
1934 2.072 0.642 0.45 0.294 0.201 0.485 0.3098455598 0.2171814672 0.1418918919 0.097007722 0.2340733591
1935 2.038 0.671 0.441 0.28 0.19 0.455 0.3292443572 0.2163886163 0.1373895976 0.0932286555 0.2232580962
1936 2.007 0.678 0.45 0.272 0.18 0.427 0.3378176383 0.2242152466 0.1355256602 0.0896860987 0.2127553563
1937 2.038 0.713 0.466 0.272 0.176 0.412 0.3498527969 0.2286555447 0.1334641806 0.0863591757 0.2021589794
1938 2.092 0.748 0.49 0.28 0.175 0.4 0.3575525813 0.2342256214 0.1338432122 0.0836520076 0.1912045889
1939 2.05 0.732 0.494 0.278 0.17 0.376 0.3570731707 0.2409756098 0.1356097561 0.0829268293 0.1834146341
1940 2.113 0.751 0.524 0.292 0.174 0.372 0.3554188358 0.2479886417 0.1381921439 0.0823473734 0.1760530052
1941 2.226 0.835 0.551 0.302 0.176 0.362 0.3751123091 0.2475292004 0.1356693621 0.0790655885 0.16262354
1942 2.465 0.985 0.617 0.324 0.183 0.357 0.3995943205 0.2503042596 0.1314401623 0.0742393509 0.1448275862
1943 2.566 0.923 0.691 0.371 0.205 0.376 0.3597038192 0.2692907249 0.1445830086 0.0798908807 0.1465315666
1944 2.439 0.815 0.651 0.382 0.212 0.379 0.3341533415 0.2669126691 0.1566215662 0.0869208692 0.1553915539
1945 2.38 0.788 0.633 0.374 0.209 0.376 0.331092437 0.2659663866 0.1571428571 0.0878151261 0.1579831933
1946 2.83 1.061 0.772 0.406 0.219 0.371 0.3749116608 0.2727915194 0.1434628975 0.077385159 0.1310954064
1947 3.161 1.3 0.84 0.435 0.222 0.365 0.4112622588 0.2657386903 0.1376146789 0.0702309396 0.115469788
1948 3.009 1.116 0.862 0.449 0.224 0.357 0.370887338 0.2864739116 0.1492190096 0.0744433367 0.1186440678
1949 3.022 1.036 0.9 0.48 0.24 0.367 0.342819325 0.2978160159 0.1588352085 0.0794176042 0.1214427531
1950 3.02 0.97 0.908 0.518 0.257 0.368 0.321192053 0.3006622517 0.1715231788 0.0850993377 0.1218543046
1951 3.203 1.032 0.932 0.565 0.287 0.386 0.3221979394 0.2909772089 0.1763971277 0.0896034967 0.12051202
1952 3.302 1.022 0.946 0.608 0.318 0.408 0.3095093882 0.2864930345 0.1841308298 0.0963052695 0.1235614779
1953 3.372 1.017 0.955 0.629 0.34 0.431 0.3016014235 0.2832147094 0.1865361803 0.1008303677 0.1278173191
1954 3.494 1.034 0.966 0.661 0.367 0.465 0.2959358901 0.2764739554 0.1891814539 0.1050372066 0.1330852891
1955 3.538 1.02 0.963 0.679 0.385 0.491 0.2882984737 0.2721876767 0.1919163369 0.1088185415 0.1387789712
1956 3.654 1.044 0.976 0.704 0.407 0.524 0.2857142857 0.267104543 0.192665572 0.1113847838 0.1434044882
1957 3.738 1.049 0.981 0.724 0.428 0.556 0.2806313537 0.2624398074 0.1936864633 0.1144997325 0.1487426431
1958 3.689 1.002 0.96 0.718 0.437 0.573 0.2716183247 0.2602331255 0.1946326918 0.1184602873 0.1553266468
1959 3.689 0.972 0.943 0.721 0.45 0.603 0.2634860396 0.2556248306 0.1954459203 0.1219842776 0.163458932
1960 3.667 0.945 0.919 0.72 0.458 0.625 0.2577038451 0.2506135806 0.1963457867 0.1248977366 0.170439051
1961 3.626 0.923 0.884 0.708 0.461 0.65 0.2545504688 0.2437948152 0.195256481 0.1271373414 0.1792608935
1962 3.481 0.881 0.838 0.673 0.444 0.644 0.253088193 0.2407354209 0.1933352485 0.1275495547 0.1850043091
1963 3.354 0.863 0.804 0.636 0.424 0.627 0.2573047108 0.2397137746 0.1896243292 0.1264162194 0.186940966
1964 3.222 0.859 0.764 0.598 0.399 0.601 0.2666045934 0.2371198014 0.1855990068 0.1238361266 0.1865301055
1965 2.926 0.819 0.7 0.527 0.349 0.533 0.2799043062 0.2392344498 0.1801093643 0.1192754614 0.1821599453
1966 2.714 0.83 0.66 0.465 0.299 0.46 0.3058216654 0.243183493 0.1713338246 0.1101694915 0.1694915254
1967 2.564 0.807 0.65 0.433 0.27 0.404 0.3147425897 0.2535101404 0.1688767551 0.1053042122 0.1575663027
1968 2.467 0.83 0.637 0.406 0.244 0.352 0.3364410215 0.2582083502 0.1645723551 0.0989055533 0.1426834212
1969 2.457 0.835 0.652 0.408 0.237 0.325 0.3398453398 0.2653642654 0.1660561661 0.0964590965 0.1322751323
1970 2.461 0.86 0.664 0.408 0.228 0.3 0.3494514425 0.2698090207 0.1657862657 0.0926452662 0.121901666
1971 2.268 0.804 0.63 0.37 0.202 0.261 0.3544973545 0.2777777778 0.1631393298 0.0890652557 0.1150793651
1972 2.008 0.744 0.582 0.311 0.165 0.206 0.3705179283 0.2898406375 0.1548804781 0.0821713147 0.1025896414
1973 1.871 0.714 0.565 0.283 0.14 0.169 0.3816141101 0.3019775521 0.1512560128 0.0748262961 0.0903260289
1974 1.827 0.715 0.572 0.272 0.127 0.143 0.3913519431 0.3130815545 0.148877942 0.0695128626 0.0782703886
1975 1.769 0.7 0.557 0.266 0.118 0.127 0.3957037875 0.3148671566 0.1503674392 0.0667043527 0.0717919729
1976 1.739 0.691 0.554 0.267 0.113 0.115 0.3973548016 0.318573893 0.1535365152 0.0649798735 0.0661299597
1977 1.783 0.711 0.572 0.279 0.114 0.108 0.3987661245 0.3208076276 0.1564778463 0.0639371845 0.0605720695
1978 1.747 0.707 0.559 0.274 0.11 0.098 0.4046937607 0.3199771036 0.1568402977 0.062965083 0.0560961649
1979 1.795 0.734 0.574 0.281 0.111 0.094 0.408913649 0.3197771588 0.156545961 0.0618384401 0.052367688
1980 1.821 0.761 0.578 0.281 0.11 0.091 0.4179022515 0.3174080176 0.1543108182 0.0604063701 0.0499725426
1981 1.805 0.758 0.575 0.278 0.108 0.085 0.4199445983 0.3185595568 0.1540166205 0.059833795 0.0470914127
1982 1.814 0.759 0.586 0.28 0.107 0.082 0.4184123484 0.3230429989 0.1543550165 0.058985667 0.0452039691
1983 1.783 0.748 0.578 0.274 0.105 0.078 0.4195176669 0.3241727426 0.1536735838 0.0588895121 0.0437464947
1984 1.792 0.751 0.587 0.276 0.104 0.075 0.4190848214 0.3275669643 0.1540178571 0.0580357143 0.0418526786
1985 1.835 0.769 0.602 0.285 0.106 0.073 0.4190735695 0.3280653951 0.1553133515 0.0577656676 0.0397820163
1986 1.835 0.773 0.598 0.286 0.106 0.072 0.421253406 0.3258855586 0.1558583106 0.0577656676 0.0392370572
1987 1.865 0.783 0.606 0.294 0.109 0.072 0.4198391421 0.3249329759 0.1576407507 0.0584450402 0.0386058981
1988 1.922 0.804 0.622 0.306 0.115 0.075 0.418314256 0.3236212279 0.1592091571 0.0598335068 0.0390218522
1989 1.999 0.839 0.64 0.32 0.121 0.079 0.4197098549 0.32016008 0.16008004 0.0605302651 0.0395197599
1990 2.069 0.869 0.659 0.331 0.127 0.083 0.4200096665 0.3185113581 0.159980667 0.0613823103 0.0401159981
1991 2.058 0.865 0.653 0.328 0.127 0.085 0.4203109815 0.3172983479 0.1593780369 0.0617103984 0.0413022352
1992 2.043 0.853 0.654 0.325 0.126 0.085 0.4175232501 0.3201174743 0.1590797846 0.0616740088 0.0416054821
1993 2.019 0.852 0.646 0.316 0.123 0.083 0.4219910847 0.3199603764 0.1565131253 0.0609212481 0.0411094601
1994 2.003 0.855 0.638 0.311 0.119 0.08 0.4268597104 0.3185222167 0.1552670994 0.0594108837 0.0399400899
1995 1.982 0.852 0.631 0.306 0.116 0.077 0.4298688194 0.3183652876 0.1543895055 0.0585267407 0.0388496468
1996 1.98 0.837 0.637 0.311 0.118 0.078 0.4227272727 0.3217171717 0.1570707071 0.0595959596 0.0393939394
1997 1.974 0.823 0.64 0.314 0.119 0.078 0.4169199595 0.3242147923 0.1590678825 0.0602836879 0.0395136778
1998 2.003 0.821 0.655 0.325 0.123 0.079 0.4098851722 0.3270094858 0.1622566151 0.0614078882 0.0394408387
1999 2.009 0.82 0.656 0.329 0.124 0.079 0.4081632653 0.3265306122 0.1637630662 0.0617222499 0.0393230463
2000 2.054 0.832 0.668 0.341 0.13 0.082 0.4050632911 0.3252190847 0.1660175268 0.0632911392 0.0399221032
2001 2.031 0.813 0.664 0.341 0.132 0.083 0.400295421 0.3269325455 0.1678975874 0.0649926145 0.0408665682
2002 2.024 0.808 0.66 0.34 0.132 0.084 0.3992094862 0.3260869565 0.1679841897 0.0652173913 0.0415019763
2003 2.053 0.824 0.666 0.344 0.134 0.085 0.4013638578 0.3244033122 0.1675596688 0.0652703361 0.0414028251
2004 2.058 0.82 0.664 0.349 0.137 0.087 0.3984450923 0.3226433431 0.1695821186 0.0665694849 0.0422740525
2005 2.061 0.817 0.665 0.351 0.14 0.089 0.3964095099 0.3226589034 0.1703056769 0.0679281902 0.0431829209
2006 2.112 0.84 0.676 0.359 0.145 0.092 0.3977272727 0.3200757576 0.1699810606 0.068655303 0.0435606061
2007 2.122 0.846 0.676 0.36 0.146 0.094 0.3986804901 0.3185673893 0.1696512724 0.068803016 0.0442978322
2008 2.074 0.829 0.656 0.349 0.145 0.094 0.399710704 0.3162970106 0.1682738669 0.0699132112 0.0453230473
2009 2.002 0.801 0.632 0.335 0.14 0.094 0.4000999001 0.3156843157 0.1673326673 0.0699300699 0.046953047
2010 1.928 0.771 0.609 0.321 0.135 0.092 0.3998962656 0.3158713693 0.1664937759 0.0700207469 0.0477178423
Mean 2.3858333333 0.8425128205 0.6771153846 0.3943589744 0.2035128205 0.2684102564 0.3645555973 0.2885144401 0.1622614355 0.0807994667 0.1039054461
Median 2.0595 0.8235 0.6505 0.333 0.1675 0.2335 0.3864830266 0.2992391338 0.1591444709 0.0743413438 0.1088345033
Standard deviation 0.6196736765 0.1214572496 0.1441573798 0.1421416866 0.1072485575 0.1917955104 0.053871927 0.0356017852 0.0168704113 0.0212757634 0.0617835356
Slope for best linear fit -0.0128025519 -0.0010534529 -0.0008180554 -0.001935811 -0.0023491698 -0.0066476056 0.0014971516 0.0013115698 0.0001388892 -0.000544514 -0.0024036944
Multiplier for best linear fit (using log-linear regression) 0.9949225462 0.999100776 0.9995852219 0.9959687334 0.9881189687 0.969534074 1.0041995528 1.004686471 1.0010515263 0.9931617014 0.9744819611
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