Fertility in Russia: Difference between revisions
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{| class="sortable" border="1" | {| class="sortable" border="1" | ||
! Cohort || Completed cohort fertility ( | ! Cohort || Completed cohort fertility (CCF) || CCF minus previous year's CCF || CCF40 || CCF40 minus previous year's CCF40 | ||
|- | |- | ||
| 1944 || 1.815 || || 1.791 || | | 1944 || 1.815 || || 1.791 || |
Revision as of 07:22, 24 February 2014
This page gives information of type fertility about the country Russia.
See all pages giving information on fertility for particular countries|See all pages giving information about Russia
Data sources
Most of the data on this page comes from the Human Fertility Database (website www.humanfertility.org) (data downloaded January 2014, last updated April 2012). The data collected by the Human Fertility Database is based on government data collection by the Russian government. Details about the modalities of data collection are available here.
Key quantitative metrics
Unless otherwise specified, data is from the Human Fertility Database, last updated April 2012.
The "Year" column below gives the period year for period measures, and the birth cohort year for cohort measures. With the exception of the tempo-adjusted total fertility rate, all latest period measures are for 2009. Latest cohort measures are 1959 or 1969, the former for the completed measures and the latter for the under-40 measures.
Metric | Direct fertility measure, comparable with replacement fertility value of 2.1? | Period measure or cohort measure? | Most recent measurement | Year | Extreme values, along with year and source |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
crude birth rate (CBR) | No | Period | 12.61 | 2010 | Data available 1959-2010; maximum value 23.61 in 1959, minimum value 8.32 in 1999. |
total fertility rate (TFR) | Yes | Period | 1.569 | 2010 | Data available 1959-2010; maximum value 2.583 in 1959, minimum value 1.158 in 1999 |
TFR40 | Yes(ish) | Period | 1.538 | 2010 | Data available 1959-2010; maximum value 2.467 in 1959, minimum value 1.146 in 1999 |
CBR proportions by birth order | No | Period | birth orders 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 (and more) (respectively): 0.505, 0.360, 0.097, 0.025, 0.013 | 2010 | Data available 1959-2010 |
TFR proportions by birth order | No | Period | birth orders 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 (and more) (respectively): 0.504, 0.358, 0.099, 0.025, 0.014 | 2010 | Data available 1959-2010 |
Data on period fertility
Data on total indicators only without breakdown by birth order
Year | CBR | CBR minus previous year's CBR | TFR | TFR minus previous year's TFR | TFR40 | TFR40 minus previous year's TFR40 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1959 | 23.61 | 2.583 | 2.467 | |||
1960 | 23.16 | -0.45 | 2.556 | -0.027 | 2.447 | -0.02 |
1961 | 21.86 | -1.3 | 2.458 | -0.098 | 2.363 | -0.084 |
1962 | 20.14 | -1.72 | 2.34 | -0.118 | 2.252 | -0.111 |
1963 | 18.72 | -1.42 | 2.283 | -0.057 | 2.201 | -0.051 |
1964 | 16.88 | -1.84 | 2.16 | -0.123 | 2.084 | -0.117 |
1965 | 15.71 | -1.17 | 2.087 | -0.073 | 2.017 | -0.067 |
1966 | 15.34 | -0.37 | 2.098 | 0.011 | 2.032 | 0.015 |
1967 | 14.42 | -0.92 | 2.006 | -0.092 | 1.947 | -0.085 |
1968 | 14.07 | -0.35 | 1.97 | -0.036 | 1.913 | -0.034 |
1969 | 14.24 | 0.17 | 1.984 | 0.014 | 1.933 | 0.02 |
1970 | 14.61 | 0.37 | 1.995 | 0.011 | 1.947 | 0.014 |
1971 | 15.08 | 0.47 | 2.024 | 0.029 | 1.979 | 0.032 |
1972 | 15.3 | 0.22 | 2.027 | 0.003 | 1.982 | 0.003 |
1973 | 15.06 | -0.24 | 1.962 | -0.065 | 1.919 | -0.063 |
1974 | 15.61 | 0.55 | 1.995 | 0.033 | 1.953 | 0.034 |
1975 | 15.71 | 0.1 | 1.971 | -0.024 | 1.931 | -0.022 |
1976 | 15.9 | 0.19 | 1.953 | -0.018 | 1.915 | -0.016 |
1977 | 15.86 | -0.04 | 1.918 | -0.035 | 1.884 | -0.031 |
1978 | 15.91 | 0.05 | 1.899 | -0.019 | 1.867 | -0.017 |
1979 | 15.81 | -0.1 | 1.865 | -0.034 | 1.836 | -0.031 |
1980 | 15.91 | 0.1 | 1.863 | -0.002 | 1.837 | 0.001 |
1981 | 16.07 | 0.16 | 1.882 | 0.019 | 1.857 | 0.02 |
1982 | 16.63 | 0.56 | 1.956 | 0.074 | 1.931 | 0.074 |
1983 | 17.57 | 0.94 | 2.088 | 0.132 | 2.063 | 0.132 |
1984 | 16.97 | -0.6 | 2.051 | -0.037 | 2.027 | -0.036 |
1985 | 16.61 | -0.36 | 2.051 | 0 | 2.028 | 0.001 |
1986 | 17.25 | 0.64 | 2.177 | 0.126 | 2.152 | 0.124 |
1987 | 17.2 | -0.05 | 2.229 | 0.052 | 2.202 | 0.05 |
1988 | 16.03 | -1.17 | 2.142 | -0.087 | 2.116 | -0.086 |
1989 | 14.66 | -1.37 | 2.018 | -0.124 | 1.995 | -0.121 |
1990 | 13.44 | -1.22 | 1.894 | -0.124 | 1.874 | -0.121 |
1991 | 12.09 | -1.35 | 1.733 | -0.161 | 1.715 | -0.159 |
1992 | 10.69 | -1.4 | 1.549 | -0.184 | 1.532 | -0.183 |
1993 | 9.38 | -1.31 | 1.37 | -0.179 | 1.358 | -0.174 |
1994 | 9.59 | 0.21 | 1.395 | 0.025 | 1.383 | 0.025 |
1995 | 9.27 | -0.32 | 1.338 | -0.057 | 1.327 | -0.056 |
1996 | 8.88 | -0.39 | 1.271 | -0.067 | 1.259 | -0.068 |
1997 | 8.59 | -0.29 | 1.219 | -0.052 | 1.208 | -0.051 |
1998 | 8.76 | 0.17 | 1.233 | 0.014 | 1.221 | 0.013 |
1999 | 8.32 | -0.44 | 1.158 | -0.075 | 1.146 | -0.075 |
2000 | 8.7 | 0.38 | 1.196 | 0.038 | 1.183 | 0.037 |
2001 | 9.05 | 0.35 | 1.224 | 0.028 | 1.211 | 0.028 |
2002 | 9.69 | 0.64 | 1.287 | 0.063 | 1.274 | 0.063 |
2003 | 10.22 | 0.53 | 1.333 | 0.046 | 1.318 | 0.044 |
2004 | 10.45 | 0.23 | 1.341 | 0.008 | 1.325 | 0.007 |
2005 | 10.18 | -0.27 | 1.288 | -0.053 | 1.271 | -0.054 |
2006 | 10.39 | 0.21 | 1.296 | 0.008 | 1.278 | 0.007 |
2007 | 11.33 | 0.94 | 1.406 | 0.11 | 1.385 | 0.107 |
2008 | 12.08 | 0.75 | 1.494 | 0.088 | 1.469 | 0.084 |
2009 | 12.41 | 0.33 | 1.537 | 0.043 | 1.509 | 0.04 |
2010 | 12.61 | 0.2 | 1.569 | 0.032 | 1.538 | 0.029 |
Mean | 14.1157692308 | -0.2156862745 | 1.8023461538 | -0.0198823529 | 1.7665576923 | -0.0182156863 |
Median | 14.86 | -0.04 | 1.9355 | -0.018 | 1.8985 | -0.016 |
Standard deviation | 3.8021290971 | 0.7335564188 | 0.3919091474 | 0.0737584292 | 0.3715297689 | 0.071963967 |
Slope for best linear fit (using linear regression) | -0.1989567148 | 0.0187963801 | -0.0220988645 | 0.0012877828 | -0.0206610177 | 0.0011103167 |
Multiplier for best logarithmic fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) | 0.9857656066 | 0.9873666048 | 0.9878851946 |
Crude birth rate broken down by birth order
Year | CBR | CBR1 | CBR2 | CBR3 | CBR4 | CBR5+ | CBR1 proportion | CBR2 proportion | CBR3 proportion | CBR4 proportion | CBR5+ proportion |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1959 | 23.61 | 9.91 | 6.6 | 3.19 | 1.69 | 2.21 | 0.4197373994 | 0.2795425667 | 0.1351122406 | 0.0715798391 | 0.0936044049 |
1960 | 23.16 | 9.58 | 6.61 | 3.18 | 1.65 | 2.15 | 0.4136442142 | 0.2854058722 | 0.1373056995 | 0.0712435233 | 0.0928324698 |
1961 | 21.86 | 9.31 | 6.24 | 2.88 | 1.47 | 1.96 | 0.4258920403 | 0.285452882 | 0.131747484 | 0.0672461116 | 0.0896614822 |
1962 | 20.14 | 8.48 | 5.87 | 2.64 | 1.35 | 1.81 | 0.4210526316 | 0.2914597815 | 0.131082423 | 0.0670307845 | 0.0898709037 |
1963 | 18.72 | 7.67 | 5.63 | 2.49 | 1.23 | 1.69 | 0.4097222222 | 0.3007478632 | 0.1330128205 | 0.0657051282 | 0.0902777778 |
1964 | 16.88 | 6.96 | 5.11 | 2.16 | 1.09 | 1.55 | 0.4123222749 | 0.3027251185 | 0.1279620853 | 0.0645734597 | 0.0918246445 |
1965 | 15.71 | 6.38 | 4.8 | 2.02 | 1.03 | 1.48 | 0.4061107575 | 0.305537874 | 0.128580522 | 0.0655633355 | 0.0942075111 |
1966 | 15.34 | 6.31 | 4.71 | 1.91 | 0.97 | 1.44 | 0.4113428944 | 0.3070404172 | 0.1245110821 | 0.0632333768 | 0.0938722295 |
1967 | 14.42 | 6.18 | 4.4 | 1.69 | 0.85 | 1.3 | 0.4285714286 | 0.3051317614 | 0.1171983356 | 0.0589459085 | 0.0901525659 |
1968 | 14.07 | 6.3 | 4.22 | 1.55 | 0.78 | 1.23 | 0.447761194 | 0.2999289268 | 0.1101634684 | 0.0554371002 | 0.0874200426 |
1969 | 14.24 | 6.72 | 4.29 | 1.45 | 0.7 | 1.09 | 0.4719101124 | 0.3012640449 | 0.1018258427 | 0.0491573034 | 0.0765449438 |
1970 | 14.61 | 7.44 | 4.19 | 1.37 | 0.61 | 0.99 | 0.5092402464 | 0.28678987 | 0.0937713895 | 0.0417522245 | 0.067761807 |
1971 | 15.08 | 7.87 | 4.38 | 1.34 | 0.59 | 0.89 | 0.5218832891 | 0.2904509284 | 0.0888594164 | 0.0391246684 | 0.0590185676 |
1972 | 15.3 | 8.04 | 4.57 | 1.3 | 0.54 | 0.84 | 0.5254901961 | 0.2986928105 | 0.0849673203 | 0.0352941176 | 0.0549019608 |
1973 | 15.06 | 7.99 | 4.57 | 1.23 | 0.49 | 0.77 | 0.5305444887 | 0.3034528552 | 0.0816733068 | 0.0325365206 | 0.0511288181 |
1974 | 15.61 | 8.39 | 4.78 | 1.23 | 0.48 | 0.73 | 0.5374759769 | 0.3062139654 | 0.0787956438 | 0.0307495195 | 0.0467648943 |
1975 | 15.71 | 8.48 | 4.91 | 1.19 | 0.46 | 0.67 | 0.5397835773 | 0.3125397836 | 0.0757479313 | 0.0292807129 | 0.0426479949 |
1976 | 15.9 | 8.6 | 5.07 | 1.18 | 0.43 | 0.62 | 0.5408805031 | 0.3188679245 | 0.0742138365 | 0.0270440252 | 0.0389937107 |
1977 | 15.86 | 8.54 | 5.18 | 1.17 | 0.41 | 0.56 | 0.5384615385 | 0.3266078184 | 0.0737704918 | 0.025851198 | 0.0353089533 |
1978 | 15.91 | 8.63 | 5.25 | 1.16 | 0.38 | 0.5 | 0.5424261471 | 0.3299811439 | 0.0729101194 | 0.0238843495 | 0.0314267756 |
1979 | 15.81 | 8.63 | 5.23 | 1.13 | 0.37 | 0.46 | 0.5458570525 | 0.3308032891 | 0.0714737508 | 0.0234029096 | 0.0290955092 |
1980 | 15.91 | 8.6 | 5.41 | 1.14 | 0.35 | 0.41 | 0.5405405405 | 0.3400377121 | 0.0716530484 | 0.0219987429 | 0.025769956 |
1981 | 16.07 | 8.32 | 5.75 | 1.23 | 0.37 | 0.4 | 0.5177349098 | 0.3578095831 | 0.0765401369 | 0.0230242688 | 0.0248911014 |
1982 | 16.63 | 8.16 | 6.23 | 1.43 | 0.41 | 0.4 | 0.4906794949 | 0.3746241732 | 0.0859891762 | 0.0246542393 | 0.0240529164 |
1983 | 17.57 | 8.03 | 7.01 | 1.67 | 0.45 | 0.41 | 0.4570290268 | 0.3989755265 | 0.0950483779 | 0.0256118384 | 0.0233352305 |
1984 | 16.97 | 7.81 | 6.58 | 1.71 | 0.46 | 0.4 | 0.4602239246 | 0.387743076 | 0.1007660577 | 0.0271066588 | 0.0235710077 |
1985 | 16.61 | 7.49 | 6.43 | 1.79 | 0.49 | 0.42 | 0.4509331728 | 0.3871161951 | 0.1077664058 | 0.029500301 | 0.0252859723 |
1986 | 17.25 | 7.3 | 6.88 | 2.07 | 0.55 | 0.45 | 0.4231884058 | 0.3988405797 | 0.12 | 0.031884058 | 0.0260869565 |
1987 | 17.2 | 7.19 | 6.85 | 2.14 | 0.56 | 0.46 | 0.4180232558 | 0.398255814 | 0.1244186047 | 0.0325581395 | 0.026744186 |
1988 | 16.03 | 7.01 | 6.14 | 1.91 | 0.52 | 0.44 | 0.437305053 | 0.3830318153 | 0.1191515908 | 0.0324391765 | 0.027448534 |
1989 | 14.66 | 6.81 | 5.35 | 1.63 | 0.46 | 0.4 | 0.4645293315 | 0.3649386085 | 0.1111869031 | 0.031377899 | 0.0272851296 |
1990 | 13.44 | 6.65 | 4.6 | 1.41 | 0.42 | 0.36 | 0.4947916667 | 0.3422619048 | 0.1049107143 | 0.03125 | 0.0267857143 |
1991 | 12.09 | 6.35 | 3.86 | 1.19 | 0.37 | 0.32 | 0.5252274607 | 0.3192721257 | 0.0984284533 | 0.0306038048 | 0.0264681555 |
1992 | 10.69 | 5.96 | 3.2 | 0.95 | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.5575304022 | 0.2993451824 | 0.088868101 | 0.0289990645 | 0.0252572498 |
1993 | 9.38 | 5.5 | 2.71 | 0.74 | 0.23 | 0.19 | 0.5863539446 | 0.28891258 | 0.078891258 | 0.0245202559 | 0.0202558635 |
1994 | 9.59 | 5.72 | 2.73 | 0.73 | 0.22 | 0.18 | 0.5964546403 | 0.2846715328 | 0.0761209593 | 0.0229405631 | 0.0187695516 |
1995 | 9.27 | 5.54 | 2.65 | 0.7 | 0.22 | 0.17 | 0.597626753 | 0.2858683927 | 0.0755124056 | 0.0237324703 | 0.0183387271 |
1996 | 8.88 | 5.28 | 2.56 | 0.68 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 0.5945945946 | 0.2882882883 | 0.0765765766 | 0.0236486486 | 0.018018018 |
1997 | 8.59 | 5.03 | 2.52 | 0.67 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 0.58556461 | 0.2933643772 | 0.0779976717 | 0.0244470314 | 0.0186263097 |
1998 | 8.76 | 5.15 | 2.57 | 0.67 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 0.5878995434 | 0.2933789954 | 0.0764840183 | 0.0239726027 | 0.0182648402 |
1999 | 8.32 | 4.94 | 2.41 | 0.63 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 0.59375 | 0.2896634615 | 0.0757211538 | 0.0228365385 | 0.0168269231 |
2000 | 8.7 | 5.2 | 2.53 | 0.65 | 0.19 | 0.13 | 0.5977011494 | 0.2908045977 | 0.0747126437 | 0.0218390805 | 0.0149425287 |
2001 | 9.05 | 5.45 | 2.64 | 0.64 | 0.19 | 0.13 | 0.6022099448 | 0.2917127072 | 0.070718232 | 0.0209944751 | 0.0143646409 |
2002 | 9.69 | 5.77 | 2.87 | 0.71 | 0.2 | 0.14 | 0.5954592363 | 0.2961816305 | 0.0732714138 | 0.0206398349 | 0.0144478844 |
2003 | 10.22 | 6.07 | 3.05 | 0.75 | 0.21 | 0.13 | 0.5939334638 | 0.2984344423 | 0.0733855186 | 0.0205479452 | 0.0127201566 |
2004 | 10.45 | 6.2 | 3.14 | 0.76 | 0.21 | 0.13 | 0.5933014354 | 0.3004784689 | 0.0727272727 | 0.0200956938 | 0.0124401914 |
2005 | 10.18 | 6.04 | 3.08 | 0.74 | 0.2 | 0.12 | 0.5933202358 | 0.3025540275 | 0.0726915521 | 0.0196463654 | 0.0117878193 |
2006 | 10.39 | 6.18 | 3.15 | 0.75 | 0.2 | 0.11 | 0.5948026949 | 0.3031761309 | 0.0721847931 | 0.0192492782 | 0.010587103 |
2007 | 11.33 | 6.28 | 3.71 | 0.95 | 0.25 | 0.15 | 0.5542806708 | 0.3274492498 | 0.0838481906 | 0.0220653133 | 0.013239188 |
2008 | 12.08 | 6.48 | 4.07 | 1.1 | 0.28 | 0.15 | 0.5364238411 | 0.3369205298 | 0.0910596026 | 0.0231788079 | 0.0124172185 |
2009 | 12.41 | 6.56 | 4.27 | 1.14 | 0.29 | 0.16 | 0.5286059629 | 0.344077357 | 0.0918614021 | 0.0233682514 | 0.0128928284 |
2010 | 12.61 | 6.37 | 4.54 | 1.22 | 0.31 | 0.16 | 0.5051546392 | 0.3600317209 | 0.0967486122 | 0.0245836638 | 0.0126883426 |
Mean | 14.1157692308 | 7.0355769231 | 4.5403846154 | 1.3838461538 | 0.5251923077 | 0.6298076923 | 0.5129862344 | 0.3191703516 | 0.0940370396 | 0.0342682909 | 0.0394601579 |
Median | 14.86 | 6.765 | 4.57 | 1.225 | 0.415 | 0.41 | 0.5270480795 | 0.3033144931 | 0.0874242963 | 0.027075342 | 0.026277556 |
Standard deviation | 3.8021290971 | 1.2839131567 | 1.3895886844 | 0.6594654813 | 0.3855146313 | 0.5873285829 | 0.0669155691 | 0.0349620491 | 0.0215888332 | 0.0163254299 | 0.0292171315 |
Slope for best linear fit (using linear regression) | -0.1989567148 | -0.0571591394 | -0.054186801 | -0.0322504909 | -0.0209113805 | -0.0344535986 | 0.0031398214 | 0.0003415634 | -0.0008592913 | -0.0008821714 | -0.0017413712 |
Multiplier for best logarithmic fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) | 0.9857656066 | 0.9919512271 | 0.9868077025 | 0.9774203234 | 0.9634862731 | 0.9422832329 | 1.0062749406 | 1.0010571438 | 0.9915342114 | 0.9773989543 | 0.9558897436 |
Total fertility rate broken down by birth order
Year | TFR | TFR1 | TFR2 | TFR3 | TFR4 | TFR5+ | TFR1 proportion | TFR2 proportion | TFR3 proportion | TFR4 proportion | TFR5+ proportion |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1959 | 2.583 | 1.042 | 0.72 | 0.351 | 0.19 | 0.28 | 0.4034068912 | 0.2787456446 | 0.1358885017 | 0.0735578784 | 0.108401084 |
1960 | 2.556 | 1.021 | 0.726 | 0.354 | 0.186 | 0.269 | 0.3994522692 | 0.2840375587 | 0.1384976526 | 0.0727699531 | 0.1052425665 |
1961 | 2.458 | 1.036 | 0.689 | 0.325 | 0.168 | 0.24 | 0.4214808788 | 0.2803091945 | 0.1322213181 | 0.0683482506 | 0.097640358 |
1962 | 2.34 | 1.008 | 0.659 | 0.3 | 0.155 | 0.219 | 0.4307692308 | 0.2816239316 | 0.1282051282 | 0.0662393162 | 0.0935897436 |
1963 | 2.283 | 1.004 | 0.648 | 0.285 | 0.142 | 0.203 | 0.4397722295 | 0.2838370565 | 0.1248357424 | 0.0621988611 | 0.0889180902 |
1964 | 2.16 | 0.986 | 0.609 | 0.252 | 0.127 | 0.185 | 0.4564814815 | 0.2819444444 | 0.1166666667 | 0.0587962963 | 0.0856481481 |
1965 | 2.087 | 0.955 | 0.593 | 0.24 | 0.121 | 0.177 | 0.4575946334 | 0.2841399138 | 0.1149976042 | 0.0579779588 | 0.0848107331 |
1966 | 2.098 | 0.97 | 0.606 | 0.233 | 0.116 | 0.173 | 0.4623450906 | 0.2888465205 | 0.1110581506 | 0.0552907531 | 0.0824594852 |
1967 | 2.006 | 0.941 | 0.593 | 0.211 | 0.104 | 0.157 | 0.4690927218 | 0.2956131605 | 0.1051844467 | 0.0518444666 | 0.0782652044 |
1968 | 1.97 | 0.931 | 0.592 | 0.201 | 0.097 | 0.149 | 0.4725888325 | 0.3005076142 | 0.1020304569 | 0.0492385787 | 0.0756345178 |
1969 | 1.984 | 0.947 | 0.62 | 0.194 | 0.089 | 0.135 | 0.4773185484 | 0.3125 | 0.0977822581 | 0.044858871 | 0.0680443548 |
1970 | 1.995 | 0.986 | 0.613 | 0.189 | 0.082 | 0.126 | 0.494235589 | 0.3072681704 | 0.0947368421 | 0.0411027569 | 0.0631578947 |
1971 | 2.024 | 1.001 | 0.637 | 0.19 | 0.081 | 0.116 | 0.4945652174 | 0.3147233202 | 0.0938735178 | 0.0400197628 | 0.057312253 |
1972 | 2.027 | 0.992 | 0.664 | 0.185 | 0.076 | 0.111 | 0.4893931919 | 0.327577701 | 0.0912678836 | 0.0374938333 | 0.0547607301 |
1973 | 1.962 | 0.959 | 0.652 | 0.178 | 0.07 | 0.103 | 0.4887869521 | 0.3323139653 | 0.0907237513 | 0.0356778797 | 0.0524974516 |
1974 | 1.995 | 0.983 | 0.663 | 0.179 | 0.069 | 0.1 | 0.4927318296 | 0.3323308271 | 0.0897243108 | 0.0345864662 | 0.0501253133 |
1975 | 1.971 | 0.976 | 0.661 | 0.171 | 0.069 | 0.094 | 0.4951801116 | 0.33536276 | 0.0867579909 | 0.0350076104 | 0.0476915271 |
1976 | 1.953 | 0.975 | 0.66 | 0.166 | 0.063 | 0.089 | 0.4992319508 | 0.3379416283 | 0.0849974398 | 0.0322580645 | 0.0455709165 |
1977 | 1.918 | 0.959 | 0.658 | 0.162 | 0.058 | 0.081 | 0.5 | 0.3430656934 | 0.0844629823 | 0.0302398332 | 0.0422314911 |
1978 | 1.899 | 0.964 | 0.65 | 0.157 | 0.054 | 0.074 | 0.5076355977 | 0.3422854134 | 0.0826750922 | 0.028436019 | 0.0389678778 |
1979 | 1.865 | 0.964 | 0.633 | 0.149 | 0.051 | 0.068 | 0.5168900804 | 0.3394101877 | 0.0798927614 | 0.0273458445 | 0.036461126 |
1980 | 1.863 | 0.966 | 0.642 | 0.146 | 0.048 | 0.061 | 0.5185185185 | 0.344605475 | 0.0783682233 | 0.0257648953 | 0.0327428878 |
1981 | 1.882 | 0.945 | 0.674 | 0.155 | 0.049 | 0.059 | 0.5021253985 | 0.3581296493 | 0.0823591923 | 0.0260361318 | 0.0313496281 |
1982 | 1.956 | 0.944 | 0.725 | 0.176 | 0.053 | 0.058 | 0.4826175869 | 0.3706543967 | 0.0899795501 | 0.0270961145 | 0.0296523517 |
1983 | 2.088 | 0.956 | 0.812 | 0.204 | 0.058 | 0.058 | 0.4578544061 | 0.3888888889 | 0.0977011494 | 0.0277777778 | 0.0277777778 |
1984 | 2.051 | 0.967 | 0.766 | 0.206 | 0.057 | 0.055 | 0.4714773281 | 0.373476353 | 0.1004388103 | 0.0277913213 | 0.0268161872 |
1985 | 2.051 | 0.965 | 0.757 | 0.214 | 0.06 | 0.055 | 0.4705021941 | 0.3690882496 | 0.1043393467 | 0.0292540224 | 0.0268161872 |
1986 | 2.177 | 0.979 | 0.825 | 0.247 | 0.066 | 0.059 | 0.449701424 | 0.3789618741 | 0.1134588884 | 0.0303169499 | 0.0271015158 |
1987 | 2.229 | 1.003 | 0.843 | 0.257 | 0.068 | 0.058 | 0.4499775684 | 0.3781965007 | 0.1152983401 | 0.0305069538 | 0.0260206371 |
1988 | 2.142 | 1.011 | 0.779 | 0.233 | 0.064 | 0.055 | 0.4719887955 | 0.3636788049 | 0.1087768441 | 0.0298786181 | 0.0256769374 |
1989 | 2.018 | 1.007 | 0.703 | 0.202 | 0.056 | 0.05 | 0.4990089197 | 0.3483647175 | 0.100099108 | 0.0277502478 | 0.0247770069 |
1990 | 1.894 | 0.996 | 0.625 | 0.178 | 0.051 | 0.045 | 0.5258711721 | 0.3299894403 | 0.0939809926 | 0.0269271383 | 0.0237592397 |
1991 | 1.733 | 0.953 | 0.54 | 0.154 | 0.046 | 0.04 | 0.5499134449 | 0.3115983843 | 0.0888632429 | 0.0265435661 | 0.0230813618 |
1992 | 1.549 | 0.891 | 0.458 | 0.126 | 0.04 | 0.033 | 0.5752098128 | 0.2956746288 | 0.0813428018 | 0.0258231117 | 0.0213040671 |
1993 | 1.37 | 0.82 | 0.395 | 0.101 | 0.03 | 0.024 | 0.598540146 | 0.2883211679 | 0.0737226277 | 0.0218978102 | 0.0175182482 |
1994 | 1.395 | 0.842 | 0.401 | 0.101 | 0.03 | 0.023 | 0.6035842294 | 0.2874551971 | 0.0724014337 | 0.0215053763 | 0.0164874552 |
1995 | 1.338 | 0.803 | 0.387 | 0.098 | 0.029 | 0.021 | 0.6001494768 | 0.2892376682 | 0.0732436472 | 0.0216741405 | 0.0156950673 |
1996 | 1.271 | 0.755 | 0.372 | 0.094 | 0.028 | 0.021 | 0.5940204563 | 0.2926829268 | 0.0739575138 | 0.0220298977 | 0.0165224233 |
1997 | 1.219 | 0.71 | 0.366 | 0.094 | 0.028 | 0.021 | 0.5824446267 | 0.3002461034 | 0.0771123872 | 0.0229696473 | 0.0172272354 |
1998 | 1.233 | 0.718 | 0.371 | 0.094 | 0.028 | 0.02 | 0.5823195458 | 0.300892133 | 0.0762368208 | 0.0227088402 | 0.0162206002 |
1999 | 1.158 | 0.678 | 0.345 | 0.089 | 0.027 | 0.019 | 0.585492228 | 0.2979274611 | 0.0768566494 | 0.0233160622 | 0.0164075993 |
2000 | 1.196 | 0.702 | 0.358 | 0.092 | 0.026 | 0.018 | 0.5869565217 | 0.2993311037 | 0.0769230769 | 0.0217391304 | 0.0150501672 |
2001 | 1.224 | 0.721 | 0.369 | 0.09 | 0.027 | 0.018 | 0.5890522876 | 0.3014705882 | 0.0735294118 | 0.0220588235 | 0.0147058824 |
2002 | 1.287 | 0.745 | 0.396 | 0.1 | 0.028 | 0.019 | 0.5788655789 | 0.3076923077 | 0.0777000777 | 0.0217560218 | 0.0147630148 |
2003 | 1.333 | 0.766 | 0.415 | 0.105 | 0.029 | 0.019 | 0.5746436609 | 0.311327832 | 0.0787696924 | 0.0217554389 | 0.0142535634 |
2004 | 1.341 | 0.769 | 0.42 | 0.105 | 0.029 | 0.018 | 0.5734526473 | 0.3131991051 | 0.0782997763 | 0.0216256525 | 0.0134228188 |
2005 | 1.288 | 0.737 | 0.405 | 0.1 | 0.028 | 0.017 | 0.5722049689 | 0.3144409938 | 0.0776397516 | 0.0217391304 | 0.0131987578 |
2006 | 1.296 | 0.745 | 0.407 | 0.101 | 0.027 | 0.016 | 0.574845679 | 0.3140432099 | 0.0779320988 | 0.0208333333 | 0.012345679 |
2007 | 1.406 | 0.754 | 0.473 | 0.125 | 0.034 | 0.02 | 0.5362731152 | 0.3364153627 | 0.0889046942 | 0.0241820768 | 0.0142247511 |
2008 | 1.494 | 0.781 | 0.512 | 0.143 | 0.037 | 0.02 | 0.5227576975 | 0.3427041499 | 0.0957161981 | 0.0247657296 | 0.0133868809 |
2009 | 1.537 | 0.8 | 0.531 | 0.146 | 0.038 | 0.021 | 0.5204944697 | 0.3454782043 | 0.0949902407 | 0.0247234873 | 0.0136629798 |
2010 | 1.569 | 0.791 | 0.561 | 0.156 | 0.04 | 0.022 | 0.5041427661 | 0.3575525813 | 0.0994263862 | 0.0254939452 | 0.0140216699 |
Mean | 1.8023461538 | 0.9003846154 | 0.5803653846 | 0.1750769231 | 0.0659038462 | 0.0806153846 | 0.5110376923 | 0.3210790416 | 0.0939394129 | 0.0340678971 | 0.0398734894 |
Median | 1.9355 | 0.9555 | 0.6165 | 0.1685 | 0.055 | 0.058 | 0.4996159754 | 0.3136211575 | 0.0903516507 | 0.0277640128 | 0.0269588515 |
Standard deviation | 0.3919091474 | 0.1107362445 | 0.1417480544 | 0.0691187799 | 0.0426781202 | 0.0714069129 | 0.0560888861 | 0.0308285928 | 0.0176189457 | 0.0150116983 | 0.0287386606 |
Slope for best linear fit (using linear regression) | -0.0220988645 | -0.0060391019 | -0.0058041919 | -0.0035825152 | -0.0024189789 | -0.0042557842 | 0.0028965365 | 0.0004710789 | -0.000771175 | -0.0008434406 | -0.0017542246 |
Multiplier for best logarithmic fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) | 0.9873666048 | 0.993042486 | 0.9888854092 | 0.9797147369 | 0.9656178273 | 0.9438451901 | 1.0057485043 | 1.0015382376 | 0.9922502261 | 0.977972946 | 0.9559217271 |
TFR40 broken down by birth order
Year | TFR40 | TFR40_1 | TFR40_2 | TFR40_3 | TFR40_4 | TFR40_5+ | TFR40_1 proportion | TFR40_2 proportion | TFR40_3 proportion | TFR40_4 proportion | TFR40_5+ proportion |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1959 | 2.467 | 1.036 | 0.711 | 0.339 | 0.175 | 0.206 | 0.4199432509 | 0.2882042967 | 0.137413863 | 0.07093636 | 0.0835022294 |
1960 | 2.447 | 1.015 | 0.717 | 0.343 | 0.172 | 0.2 | 0.4147936248 | 0.2930118512 | 0.1401716387 | 0.0702901512 | 0.081732734 |
1961 | 2.363 | 1.03 | 0.68 | 0.315 | 0.157 | 0.181 | 0.4358865848 | 0.2877697842 | 0.1333051206 | 0.0664409649 | 0.0765975455 |
1962 | 2.252 | 1.001 | 0.651 | 0.29 | 0.144 | 0.166 | 0.4444937833 | 0.2890763766 | 0.1287744227 | 0.0639431616 | 0.0737122558 |
1963 | 2.201 | 0.998 | 0.64 | 0.276 | 0.133 | 0.155 | 0.453430259 | 0.2907769196 | 0.1253975466 | 0.0604270786 | 0.0704225352 |
1964 | 2.084 | 0.98 | 0.6 | 0.244 | 0.119 | 0.142 | 0.4702495202 | 0.2879078695 | 0.1170825336 | 0.0571017274 | 0.0681381958 |
1965 | 2.017 | 0.95 | 0.585 | 0.232 | 0.113 | 0.137 | 0.4709965295 | 0.290034705 | 0.1150223104 | 0.0560237977 | 0.0679226574 |
1966 | 2.032 | 0.964 | 0.598 | 0.226 | 0.109 | 0.136 | 0.4744094488 | 0.2942913386 | 0.1112204724 | 0.0536417323 | 0.0669291339 |
1967 | 1.947 | 0.935 | 0.585 | 0.204 | 0.097 | 0.125 | 0.4802259887 | 0.3004622496 | 0.1047765794 | 0.0498202363 | 0.0642013354 |
1968 | 1.913 | 0.926 | 0.585 | 0.194 | 0.091 | 0.119 | 0.4840564558 | 0.3058024046 | 0.1014113957 | 0.0475692629 | 0.0622059592 |
1969 | 1.933 | 0.941 | 0.613 | 0.187 | 0.084 | 0.108 | 0.4868080704 | 0.317123642 | 0.0967408174 | 0.0434557682 | 0.055871702 |
1970 | 1.947 | 0.981 | 0.606 | 0.183 | 0.077 | 0.101 | 0.5038520801 | 0.311248074 | 0.093990755 | 0.0395480226 | 0.051874679 |
1971 | 1.979 | 0.996 | 0.631 | 0.183 | 0.076 | 0.093 | 0.5032844871 | 0.318847903 | 0.0924709449 | 0.038403234 | 0.046993431 |
1972 | 1.982 | 0.988 | 0.657 | 0.178 | 0.07 | 0.088 | 0.4984863774 | 0.3314833502 | 0.0898082745 | 0.0353178607 | 0.0443995964 |
1973 | 1.919 | 0.955 | 0.646 | 0.172 | 0.065 | 0.082 | 0.4976550287 | 0.3366336634 | 0.0896300156 | 0.0338718082 | 0.0427305888 |
1974 | 1.953 | 0.979 | 0.657 | 0.173 | 0.065 | 0.079 | 0.5012800819 | 0.33640553 | 0.0885816692 | 0.0332821301 | 0.0404505888 |
1975 | 1.931 | 0.972 | 0.655 | 0.166 | 0.064 | 0.074 | 0.5033661315 | 0.3392024858 | 0.0859658208 | 0.033143449 | 0.0383221129 |
1976 | 1.915 | 0.971 | 0.655 | 0.161 | 0.058 | 0.069 | 0.5070496084 | 0.3420365535 | 0.084073107 | 0.0302872063 | 0.0360313316 |
1977 | 1.884 | 0.956 | 0.652 | 0.157 | 0.054 | 0.064 | 0.5074309979 | 0.3460721868 | 0.0833333333 | 0.0286624204 | 0.033970276 |
1978 | 1.867 | 0.961 | 0.645 | 0.152 | 0.05 | 0.059 | 0.5147295126 | 0.3454740225 | 0.0814140332 | 0.026780932 | 0.0316014997 |
1979 | 1.836 | 0.961 | 0.628 | 0.145 | 0.048 | 0.055 | 0.5234204793 | 0.3420479303 | 0.0789760349 | 0.0261437908 | 0.029956427 |
1980 | 1.837 | 0.963 | 0.638 | 0.142 | 0.045 | 0.049 | 0.5242242787 | 0.3473053892 | 0.0772999456 | 0.0244964616 | 0.0266739249 |
1981 | 1.857 | 0.942 | 0.67 | 0.151 | 0.046 | 0.048 | 0.50726979 | 0.3607969844 | 0.0813139472 | 0.0247711362 | 0.0258481422 |
1982 | 1.931 | 0.941 | 0.72 | 0.172 | 0.05 | 0.047 | 0.4873122734 | 0.3728638011 | 0.0890730192 | 0.0258933195 | 0.0243397204 |
1983 | 2.063 | 0.954 | 0.808 | 0.199 | 0.055 | 0.048 | 0.4624333495 | 0.3916626272 | 0.0964614639 | 0.0266602036 | 0.0232670868 |
1984 | 2.027 | 0.965 | 0.762 | 0.201 | 0.054 | 0.046 | 0.4760730143 | 0.3759250123 | 0.0991613222 | 0.0266403552 | 0.0226936359 |
1985 | 2.028 | 0.963 | 0.752 | 0.209 | 0.057 | 0.047 | 0.474852071 | 0.3708086785 | 0.1030571992 | 0.0281065089 | 0.0231755424 |
1986 | 2.152 | 0.977 | 0.82 | 0.241 | 0.063 | 0.051 | 0.4539962825 | 0.3810408922 | 0.1119888476 | 0.0292750929 | 0.0236988848 |
1987 | 2.202 | 1 | 0.837 | 0.25 | 0.065 | 0.05 | 0.4541326067 | 0.3801089918 | 0.1135331517 | 0.0295186194 | 0.0227066303 |
1988 | 2.116 | 1.007 | 0.773 | 0.227 | 0.06 | 0.048 | 0.4758979206 | 0.3653119093 | 0.1072778828 | 0.0283553875 | 0.02268431 |
1989 | 1.995 | 1.003 | 0.697 | 0.197 | 0.054 | 0.044 | 0.5027568922 | 0.3493734336 | 0.0987468672 | 0.0270676692 | 0.0220551378 |
1990 | 1.874 | 0.993 | 0.62 | 0.173 | 0.049 | 0.039 | 0.5298826041 | 0.3308431163 | 0.0923159018 | 0.0261472785 | 0.0208110993 |
1991 | 1.715 | 0.95 | 0.536 | 0.15 | 0.044 | 0.035 | 0.5539358601 | 0.3125364431 | 0.0874635569 | 0.0256559767 | 0.0204081633 |
1992 | 1.532 | 0.888 | 0.455 | 0.123 | 0.038 | 0.029 | 0.5796344648 | 0.296997389 | 0.0802872063 | 0.0248041775 | 0.0189295039 |
1993 | 1.358 | 0.818 | 0.393 | 0.098 | 0.029 | 0.021 | 0.6023564065 | 0.2893961708 | 0.0721649485 | 0.0213549337 | 0.0154639175 |
1994 | 1.383 | 0.84 | 0.398 | 0.098 | 0.028 | 0.02 | 0.6073752711 | 0.287780188 | 0.0708604483 | 0.0202458424 | 0.014461316 |
1995 | 1.327 | 0.801 | 0.385 | 0.095 | 0.027 | 0.019 | 0.6036171816 | 0.2901281085 | 0.0715900528 | 0.0203466466 | 0.0143180106 |
1996 | 1.259 | 0.753 | 0.37 | 0.092 | 0.027 | 0.018 | 0.5980937252 | 0.2938840349 | 0.0730738681 | 0.0214455917 | 0.0142970612 |
1997 | 1.208 | 0.708 | 0.364 | 0.092 | 0.027 | 0.018 | 0.5860927152 | 0.3013245033 | 0.0761589404 | 0.0223509934 | 0.0149006623 |
1998 | 1.221 | 0.716 | 0.368 | 0.092 | 0.027 | 0.018 | 0.5864045864 | 0.3013923014 | 0.0753480753 | 0.0221130221 | 0.0147420147 |
1999 | 1.146 | 0.676 | 0.342 | 0.087 | 0.025 | 0.017 | 0.589877836 | 0.2984293194 | 0.0759162304 | 0.0218150087 | 0.0148342059 |
2000 | 1.183 | 0.7 | 0.355 | 0.089 | 0.024 | 0.015 | 0.5917159763 | 0.3000845309 | 0.0752324598 | 0.0202874049 | 0.0126796281 |
2001 | 1.211 | 0.718 | 0.366 | 0.087 | 0.025 | 0.015 | 0.592898431 | 0.3022295623 | 0.0718414533 | 0.0206440958 | 0.0123864575 |
2002 | 1.274 | 0.743 | 0.393 | 0.096 | 0.026 | 0.016 | 0.5832025118 | 0.308477237 | 0.0753532182 | 0.0204081633 | 0.0125588697 |
2003 | 1.318 | 0.764 | 0.411 | 0.101 | 0.026 | 0.016 | 0.5796661608 | 0.3118361153 | 0.0766312595 | 0.0197268589 | 0.0121396055 |
2004 | 1.325 | 0.766 | 0.416 | 0.1 | 0.027 | 0.016 | 0.5781132075 | 0.3139622642 | 0.0754716981 | 0.0203773585 | 0.0120754717 |
2005 | 1.271 | 0.735 | 0.401 | 0.096 | 0.026 | 0.014 | 0.5782848151 | 0.3154996066 | 0.0755310779 | 0.0204563336 | 0.0110149489 |
2006 | 1.278 | 0.743 | 0.402 | 0.096 | 0.024 | 0.013 | 0.5813771518 | 0.3145539906 | 0.0751173709 | 0.0187793427 | 0.010172144 |
2007 | 1.385 | 0.751 | 0.466 | 0.119 | 0.031 | 0.017 | 0.5422382671 | 0.3364620939 | 0.0859205776 | 0.0223826715 | 0.0122743682 |
2008 | 1.469 | 0.778 | 0.504 | 0.136 | 0.034 | 0.017 | 0.5296119809 | 0.3430905378 | 0.0925799864 | 0.0231449966 | 0.0115724983 |
2009 | 1.509 | 0.797 | 0.522 | 0.138 | 0.034 | 0.018 | 0.5281643472 | 0.3459244533 | 0.0914512922 | 0.0225314778 | 0.0119284294 |
2010 | 1.538 | 0.787 | 0.551 | 0.147 | 0.036 | 0.018 | 0.5117035111 | 0.3582574772 | 0.0955786736 | 0.0234070221 | 0.0117035111 |
Mean | 1.7665576923 | 0.8968461538 | 0.5748461538 | 0.1695 | 0.0616153846 | 0.0639615385 | 0.5182508422 | 0.3238884673 | 0.0927569737 | 0.0325827124 | 0.0326611869 |
Median | 1.8985 | 0.952 | 0.6095 | 0.1635 | 0.052 | 0.048 | 0.5071596992 | 0.3150267986 | 0.0893515174 | 0.0266502794 | 0.0232213146 |
Standard deviation | 0.3715297689 | 0.1098191713 | 0.1406599828 | 0.0671166675 | 0.0396678137 | 0.0533324613 | 0.0535542086 | 0.0300526857 | 0.0183255951 | 0.0147227068 | 0.0223004327 |
Slope for best linear fit (using linear regression) | -0.0206610177 | -0.0059612396 | -0.0057302143 | -0.0034911637 | -0.0022601383 | -0.0032177922 | 0.002712078 | 0.0003246897 | -0.0008345958 | -0.0008312669 | -0.0013686333 |
Multiplier for best logarithmic fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) | 0.9878851946 | 0.993100907 | 0.9889134528 | 0.9795261356 | 0.9653766226 | 0.9464026482 | 1.0052796746 | 1.0010408681 | 0.9915384308 | 0.977215397 | 0.9580087376 |
Data on completed fertility
CCF and CCF40, not broken down by birth order
Cohort | Completed cohort fertility (CCF) | CCF minus previous year's CCF | CCF40 | CCF40 minus previous year's CCF40 |
---|---|---|---|---|
1944 | 1.815 | 1.791 | ||
1945 | 1.781 | -0.034 | 1.757 | -0.034 |
1946 | 1.836 | 0.055 | 1.811 | 0.054 |
1947 | 1.766 | -0.07 | 1.743 | -0.068 |
1948 | 1.784 | 0.018 | 1.764 | 0.021 |
1949 | 1.89 | 0.106 | 1.87 | 0.106 |
1950 | 1.854 | -0.036 | 1.837 | -0.033 |
1951 | 1.889 | 0.035 | 1.874 | 0.037 |
1952 | 1.876 | -0.013 | 1.863 | -0.011 |
1953 | 1.862 | -0.014 | 1.85 | -0.013 |
1954 | 1.887 | 0.025 | 1.876 | 0.026 |
1955 | 1.854 | -0.033 | 1.842 | -0.034 |
1956 | 1.845 | -0.009 | 1.834 | -0.008 |
1957 | 1.874 | 0.029 | 1.862 | 0.028 |
1958 | 1.862 | -0.012 | 1.85 | -0.012 |
1959 | 1.86 | -0.002 | 1.847 | -0.003 |
1960 | 1.849 | -0.011 | 1.836 | -0.011 |
1961 | 1.786 | -0.05 | ||
1962 | 1.737 | -0.049 | ||
1963 | 1.707 | -0.03 | ||
1964 | 1.68 | -0.027 | ||
1965 | 1.659 | -0.021 | ||
1966 | 1.636 | -0.023 | ||
1967 | 1.611 | -0.025 | ||
1968 | 1.6 | -0.011 | ||
1969 | 1.587 | -0.013 | ||
1970 | 1.572 | -0.015 | ||
Mean (1944-1960) | 1.8461176471 | 0.002125 | 1.8298235294 | 0.0028125 |
Median (1944-1960) | 1.854 | -0.01 | 1.842 | -0.0095 |
Standard deviation (1944-1960) | 0.0383452773 | 0.041920361 | 0.0420077899 | 0.0415920165 |
Slope for best linear fit (using linear regression) (1944-1960) | 0.0041568627 | -0.0007058824 | 0.0050710784 | -0.0008161765 |
Multiplier for best logarithmic fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) (1944-1960) | 1.0022847828 | 1.0028122562 |