Fertility in Germany: Difference between revisions

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! Multiplier for best log-linear fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) || 0.9855550552 ||  || 0.9870155751 ||  || 0.9870882781 ||  
! Multiplier for best log-linear fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) || 0.9855550552 ||  || 0.9870155751 ||  || 0.9870882781 ||  
|}
==Data on cohort fertility==
===CCF and CCF40, not broken down by birth order===
{| class="sortable" border="1"
! Year of birth || CCF || CCF minus previous year's CCF || CCF40 || CCF40 minus previous year's CCF40
|-
| 1941 || 1.916 ||  || 1.902 ||
|-
| 1942 || 1.865 || -0.051 || 1.851 || -0.051
|-
| 1943 || 1.829 || -0.036 || 1.815 || -0.036
|-
| 1944 || 1.8 || -0.029 || 1.786 || -0.029
|-
| 1945 || 1.795 || -0.005 || 1.779 || -0.007
|-
| 1946 || 1.795 || 0 || 1.778 || -0.001
|-
| 1947 || 1.769 || -0.026 || 1.753 || -0.025
|-
| 1948 || 1.749 || -0.02 || 1.731 || -0.022
|-
| 1949 || 1.735 || -0.014 || 1.717 || -0.014
|-
| 1950 || 1.723 || -0.012 || 1.705 || -0.012
|-
| 1951 || 1.693 || -0.03 || 1.675 || -0.03
|-
| 1952 || 1.687 || -0.006 || 1.668 || -0.007
|-
| 1953 || 1.676 || -0.011 || 1.657 || -0.011
|-
| 1954 || 1.658 || -0.018 || 1.638 || -0.019
|-
| 1955 || 1.674 || 0.016 || 1.654 || 0.016
|-
| 1956 || 1.671 || -0.003 || 1.649 || -0.005
|-
| 1957 || 1.66 || -0.011 || 1.637 || -0.012
|-
| 1958 || 1.662 || 0.002 || 1.638 || 0.001
|-
| 1959 || 1.661 || -0.001 || 1.636 || -0.002
|-
| 1960 || 1.659 || -0.002 || 1.632 || -0.004
|-
| 1961 ||  ||  || 1.608 || -0.024
|-
| 1962 ||  ||  || 1.586 || -0.022
|-
| 1963 ||  ||  || 1.559 || -0.027
|-
| 1964 ||  ||  || 1.534 || -0.025
|-
| 1965 ||  ||  || 1.515 || -0.019
|-
| 1966 ||  ||  || 1.486 || -0.029
|-
| 1967 ||  ||  || 1.458 || -0.028
|-
| 1968 ||  ||  || 1.446 || -0.012
|-
| 1969 ||  ||  || 1.445 || -0.001
|-
| 1970 ||  ||  || 1.453 || 0.008
|-
! Mean || 1.73385 || 0.0018824561 || 1.6463666667 || 0.001822807
|-
! Median || 1.708 || -0.011 || 1.6435 || -0.012
|-
! Standard deviation || 0.0777623065 || 0.0157739885 || 0.1233110682 || 0.015414924
|-
! Slope for best linear fit (using linear regression) || -0.0123646617 || 0.0018824561 || -0.0137239155 || 0.001822807
|-
! Multiplier for best logarithmic fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) || 0.992973215 ||  || 0.9916675959 ||
|}
|}

Revision as of 08:16, 30 January 2014

Data sources

Most of the data on this page comes from the Human Fertility Database (website www.humanfertility.org) (data downloaded January 2014, last updated April 2013). The data collected by the Human Fertility Database is based on government data collection by the United States government. Details about the modalities of data collection are available here.

Data on period fertility

Data on total indicators only without breakdown by birth order

Year CBR (births per 1000 people per year) CBR minus previous year's CBR TFR (sum of all age-specific fertility rates), ballpark for replacement fertility is 2.1 TFR minus previous year's TFR TFR40 (sum of age-specific fertility rates up to the age of 40), almost equal to TFR because births above the age of 40 are rare TFR40 minus previous year's TFR40
1956 15.98 2.22 2.153
1957 16.36 0.38 2.274 0.054 2.208 0.055
1958 16.38 0.02 2.276 0.002 2.213 0.005
1959 17.2 0.82 2.368 0.092 2.303 0.09
1960 17.31 0.11 2.368 0 2.305 0.002
1961 17.89 0.58 2.444 0.076 2.382 0.077
1962 17.78 -0.11 2.44 -0.004 2.379 -0.003
1963 18.14 0.36 2.512 0.072 2.45 0.071
1964 18.02 -0.12 2.535 0.023 2.473 0.023
1965 17.44 -0.58 2.501 -0.034 2.441 -0.032
1966 17.21 -0.23 2.507 0.006 2.451 0.01
1967 16.53 -0.68 2.45 -0.057 2.398 -0.053
1968 15.71 -0.82 2.36 -0.09 2.31 -0.088
1969 14.66 -1.05 2.211 -0.149 2.164 -0.146
1970 13.4 -1.26 2.029 -0.182 1.986 -0.178
1971 12.94 -0.46 1.965 -0.064 1.923 -0.063
1972 11.46 -1.48 1.734 -0.231 1.697 -0.226
1973 10.34 -1.12 1.556 -0.178 1.524 -0.173
1974 10.2 -0.14 1.526 -0.03 1.496 -0.028
1975 9.94 -0.26 1.48 -0.046 1.454 -0.042
1976 10.19 0.25 1.507 0.027 1.484 0.03
1977 10.31 0.12 1.51 0.003 1.49 0.006
1978 10.35 0.04 1.501 -0.009 1.484 -0.006
1979 10.46 0.11 1.498 -0.003 1.482 -0.002
1980 11.06 0.6 1.561 0.063 1.545 0.063
1981 11 -0.06 1.529 -0.032 1.514 -0.031
1982 11 0 1.506 -0.023 1.491 -0.023
1983 10.6 -0.4 1.429 -0.077 1.415 -0.076
1984 10.43 -0.17 1.387 -0.042 1.373 -0.042
1985 10.48 0.05 1.374 -0.013 1.36 -0.013
1986 10.92 0.44 1.414 0.04 1.4 0.04
1987 11.15 0.23 1.434 0.02 1.418 0.018
1988 11.43 0.28 1.461 0.027 1.445 0.027
1989 11.18 -0.25 1.422 -0.039 1.404 -0.041
1990 11.41 0.23 1.452 0.03 1.434 0.03
1991 10.38 -1.03 1.331 -0.121 1.313 -0.121
1992 10.04 -0.34 1.296 -0.035 1.278 -0.035
1993 9.84 -0.2 1.279 -0.017 1.261 -0.017
1994 9.46 -0.38 1.243 -0.036 1.224 -0.037
1995 9.37 -0.09 1.249 0.006 1.231 0.007
1996 9.72 0.35 1.319 0.07 1.299 0.068
1997 9.9 0.18 1.37 0.051 1.348 0.049
1998 9.57 -0.33 1.355 -0.015 1.333 -0.015
1999 9.39 -0.18 1.361 0.006 1.338 0.005
2000 9.33 -0.06 1.383 0.022 1.358 0.02
2001 8.92 -0.41 1.349 -0.034 1.324 -0.034
2002 8.72 -0.2 1.342 -0.007 1.315 -0.009
2003 8.57 -0.15 1.34 -0.002 1.313 -0.002
2004 8.55 -0.02 1.359 0.019 1.33 0.017
2005 8.32 -0.23 1.34 -0.019 1.309 -0.021
2006 8.17 -0.15 1.331 -0.009 1.298 -0.011
2007 8.32 0.15 1.371 0.04 1.334 0.036
2008 8.31 -0.01 1.38 0.009 1.34 0.006
2009 8.12 -0.19 1.359 -0.021 1.317 -0.023
2010 8.29 0.17 1.394 0.035 1.349 0.032
Mean 11.7845454545 -0.1424074074 1.6816727273 -0.0152962963 1.6483818182 -0.0148888889
Median 10.46 -0.115 1.461 -0.0055 1.445 -0.0045
Standard deviation 3.2385552438 0.46242158 0.4435017247 0.0645348026 0.4279727618 0.063319098
Slope for best linear fit (using linear regression) -0.1786031746 0.0014694111 -0.0234471861 0.0005254812 -0.022767316 0.0004302649
Multiplier for best log-linear fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) 0.9855550552 0.9870155751 0.9870882781

Data on cohort fertility

CCF and CCF40, not broken down by birth order

Year of birth CCF CCF minus previous year's CCF CCF40 CCF40 minus previous year's CCF40
1941 1.916 1.902
1942 1.865 -0.051 1.851 -0.051
1943 1.829 -0.036 1.815 -0.036
1944 1.8 -0.029 1.786 -0.029
1945 1.795 -0.005 1.779 -0.007
1946 1.795 0 1.778 -0.001
1947 1.769 -0.026 1.753 -0.025
1948 1.749 -0.02 1.731 -0.022
1949 1.735 -0.014 1.717 -0.014
1950 1.723 -0.012 1.705 -0.012
1951 1.693 -0.03 1.675 -0.03
1952 1.687 -0.006 1.668 -0.007
1953 1.676 -0.011 1.657 -0.011
1954 1.658 -0.018 1.638 -0.019
1955 1.674 0.016 1.654 0.016
1956 1.671 -0.003 1.649 -0.005
1957 1.66 -0.011 1.637 -0.012
1958 1.662 0.002 1.638 0.001
1959 1.661 -0.001 1.636 -0.002
1960 1.659 -0.002 1.632 -0.004
1961 1.608 -0.024
1962 1.586 -0.022
1963 1.559 -0.027
1964 1.534 -0.025
1965 1.515 -0.019
1966 1.486 -0.029
1967 1.458 -0.028
1968 1.446 -0.012
1969 1.445 -0.001
1970 1.453 0.008
Mean 1.73385 0.0018824561 1.6463666667 0.001822807
Median 1.708 -0.011 1.6435 -0.012
Standard deviation 0.0777623065 0.0157739885 0.1233110682 0.015414924
Slope for best linear fit (using linear regression) -0.0123646617 0.0018824561 -0.0137239155 0.001822807
Multiplier for best logarithmic fit (using linear regression on the logarithm) 0.992973215 0.9916675959
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